U.S. Open Picks 2025: 1 of These 7 Players Will Win

Scottie Scheffler hits from the second tee during the final round of the Houston Open golf tournament in Houston, Sunday, March 30, 2025.
(AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
  • The U.S. Open is June 12-15 from Oakmont Country Club.
  • The course is expected to play extremely difficult.
  • Scottie Scheffler (+275) has the best odds to win.

Itโ€™s officially U.S. Open week and one of the best of the year forย golf betting.

There are plenty of storylines on the course to follow, including Scottie Scheffler looking to continue his recent dominance, Rory McIlroy rebounding from a tough few events following his Masters victory, Bryson DeChambeau defending his title and more.

Scheffler has the bestย odds to win the U.S. Open at +275.

Picking an outright winner is extremely hard, but there are some trends to know for this week at Oakmont.

U.S. Open Betting Strategy

Since this is a major championship, naturally, one of the best players in the game is going to win.

Like most events, current form does come into play, so itโ€™s important to look at how a player is performing at the moment.

Oakmont hasnโ€™t hosted a major since 2016, so the vast majority of players in the field have not played the course before.

Even though thereโ€™s not much course history to go off of, it is a U.S. Open, so tough conditions with thick rough are expected. Do not expect many low scores this week, as it will be about limiting bogeys and taking advantage of the limited birdie opportunities.

Picking A U.S. Open Winner

Last 10 Winners Were Ranked Inside Top 32 of Official World Golf Rankings

  1. Scottie Scheffler
  2. Bryson DeChambeau
  3. Jon Rahm
  4. Rory McIlroy
  5. Joaquin Niemann
  6. Justin Thomas
  7. Tommy Fleetwood
  8. Collin Morikawa
  9. Xander Schauffele
  10. Sepp Straka
  11. Patrick Cantlay
  12. Shane Lowry
  13. Corey Conners
  14. Russell Henley
  15. Sam Burns
  16. Ben Griffin
  17. Keegan Bradley
  18. Tyrrell Hatton
  19. Hideki Matsuyama
  20. Ludvig Aberg
  21. Si Woo Kim
  22. Jordan Spieth
  23. Viktor Hovland
  24. Harris English
  25. J.J. Spaun
  26. Daniel Berger
  27. Maverick McNealy
  28. Robert MacIntyre
  29. Denny McCarthy
  30. Harry Hall
  31. Akshay Bhatia
  32. Tony Finau

These are the top 32 players, according to Data Golf. Data Golf was used as the Official World Golf Rankings do not allocate points to LIV Golf events.

9 of Last 10 Winners Had a Previous Top 25 at the Event

  1. Scheffler
  2. DeChambeau
  3. Rahm
  4. McIlroy
  5. Niemann
  6. Thomas
  7. Fleetwood
  8. Morikawa
  9. Schauffele
  10. Cantlay
  11. Lowry
  12. Conners
  13. Henley
  14. Burns
  15. Bradley
  16. Hatton
  17. Matsuyama
  18. Aberg
  19. Kim
  20. Spieth
  21. Hovland
  22. English
  23. Berger
  24. McCarthy
  25. Bhatia
  26. Finau

Eliminated: Straka, Griffin, Spaun, McNealy, MacIntyre, Hall

9 of the Last 10 U.S. Open Winners Had a Top 10 Finish in the Previous 2 Majors

  1. Scheffler
  2. DeChambeau
  3. Rahm
  4. McIlroy
  5. Niemann
  6. Schauffele
  7. Conners
  8. Bradley
  9. Aberg
  10. Kim
  11. English
  12. McCarthy

Eliminated: Thomas, Fleetwood, Morikawa, Cantlay, Lowry, Henley, Burns, Hatton, Matsuyama, Spieth, Hovland, Berger, Bhatia, Finau

8 of the Last 10 U.S. Open Winners Posted Top-12 Finish in 1 or Both of Previous 2 PGA Tour Starts

  1. Scheffler
  2. DeChambeau
  3. Rahm
  4. Niemann
  5. Bradley
  6. English
  7. McCarthy

Eliminated: McIlroy, Schauffele, Conners, Aberg, Kim

Based on these trends, the winner will either be one of those seven players. Keep this in mind when making your U.S. Open picks this week.

U.S. Open Odds At BetMGM

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About the Author

Ryan Hannable

Read More @RyanHannable

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, โ€œThe Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.โ€

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, โ€œThe Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.โ€