- The Dodgers are -155 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies starting pitcher: Matthew Strahm
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Philadelphia Phillies (+130) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) on Tuesday, May 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Phillies vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 15-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 14-16 ATS.
Phillies vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 +100 | +130 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -120 | -155 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+12.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 away games (+10.30 Units / 81% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+9.95 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 67% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+7.85 Units / 32% ROI)
Dodgers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Dodgers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Urias | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Matt Strahm | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.30 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.25 Units / 27% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+5.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 13-17 against the Run Line (-9.3 Units / -22.36% ROI).
- 15-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -8.63% ROI
- 13-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.5 Units / -16.64% ROI
- 17-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 9.08% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 14-16 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -2.91% ROI).
- 17-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -9.64% ROI
- 17-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units / 11.73% ROI
- 12-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.3 Units / -19.18% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .080 (2-for-25) against Matt Strahm on low fastballs since last season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .266 — 98th Percentile.
Matt Strahm has a strikeout rate of 36% (32 SO in 89 PAs) this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .148 (12-for-81) against Matt Strahm this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .254 — 98th Percentile.
Matt Strahm has allowed a slugging percentage of just .158 (23 Total Bases / 146 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — 11th best among among 101 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .239 — 90th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (198/595) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 39% (17/44) against Julio Urias on fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Julio Urias has a strike rate of 69% (2,172/3,166) since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 95th Percentile.
Julio Urias has a strike rate of 70% (681/976) in two strike counts since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 95th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Phillies are 29-34 (.460) when underdogs since last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Phillies are just 0-4 (.000) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Phillies are just 7-10 (.412) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Phillies are 8-1 (.889) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Dodgers are 6-52 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Dodgers are 115-23 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Dodgers are 54-16 (.771) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .654.
The Dodgers are 13-8 (.619) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
29% of Phillies hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
The Phillies are batting .336 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Phillies hitters are slugging .421 against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .298 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (5,365 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Dodgers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .768 (2,250 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
The Dodgers are batting just .174 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 5.60 (143.0 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.48.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 12 double plays in 195 opportunities (6%) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 484 of 6,979 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.06 (837.1 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.37 runs per game (320/95) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Dodgers vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Back, D10
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Nicholas Nelson (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
- Andrew Bellatti (Phillies): Tricep, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Elbow, D10
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