- The Phillies are -115 favorites vs the Giants
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
- Giants starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Philadelphia Phillies (-115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-105) on Wednesday, May 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Phillies vs Giants Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 20-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 20-22 ATS.
Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +140 | O 9 -110 | -115 |
| Giants | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -110 | -105 |
Phillies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 66.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 away games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 games (+7.65 Units / 101% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 79% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.30 Units / 65% ROI)
Giants vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Giants vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Giants vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Giants vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Ross Stripling | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+6.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+7.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 17-25 against the Run Line (-14.55 Units / -25.94% ROI).
- 20-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -13.12% ROI
- 17-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.95 Units / -17.26% ROI
- 23-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 10.01% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 20-22 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -7.59% ROI).
- 19-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -16.36% ROI
- 19-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -9.09% ROI
- 21-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 1.2% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 58% (128/219) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (4/45) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 0 Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has not walked any of the 44 batters that he has faced — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
53% of Taijuan Walker’s fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 37% — 93rd Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 79 of Ross Stripling’s 391 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 4% (1/23) against Ross Stripling over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 11 of Ross Stripling’s 73 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 15%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 33% — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 101 of Ross Stripling’s 487 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Phillies are just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 19-76 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Phillies are just 15-3 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are just 6-12 (.333) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Giants are just 7-6 (.538) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Giants are 82-2 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Giants are just 15-32 (.319) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .336 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Phillies hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies hitters have drawn 26 walks in 519 PA’s (5%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Phillies are batting .186 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .231 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have 130 strikeouts in 495 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .306 (914 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 26 of 366 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 15 double plays in 271 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 19 of 401 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Phillies have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Giants pitchers over the last 30 days (28 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Toe, Day-to-Day
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- José Alvarado (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10
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