- The Phillies (73-58) are -110 favorites vs the Giants (61-68)
- Phillies starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson (9-5), 4.07 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (4-6), 3.81 ERA
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-110) on Friday, September 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Phillies vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 72-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 57-69 ATS.
Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +150 | O 7.5 -105 | -110 |
| Giants | +1.5 -185 | U 7.5 -115 | -110 |
Phillies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 49 away games (+16.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 53 away games (+15.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+13.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 43 games (+11.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.60 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+13.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+11.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 37 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 73 of their last 126 games (+16.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+7.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 away games (+6.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 away games (+6.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games at home (+15.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 67-62 against the Run Line (+3.7 Units / 2.37% ROI).
- 72-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 2.22% ROI
- 64-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -0.49% ROI
- 59-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.05 Units / -7.78% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 57-69 against the Run Line (-20.75 Units / -13.17% ROI).
- 60-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -27 Units / -14.38% ROI
- 60-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -2.69% ROI
- 58-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -6.3% ROI
Kyle Gibson: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (27/150) against Kyle Gibson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 59% when ahead in the count (tied for seventh lowest)– 14th Percentile and 74% when behind in the count this season (sixth highest among qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (337/580) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (211/638) against Kyle Gibson on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Alexander Cobb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (196/319) against Alex Cobb this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (179/363) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (518/1,258) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 51% of the time (440/856) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 11-44 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Phillies are 13-44 (.228) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Phillies are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 60-20 (.750) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 48-4 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Giants are just 27-36 (.429) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Giants are 6-54 (.100) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .783 (1,440 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Phillies are batting .268 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Phillies hitters are slugging .518 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Phillies hitters are slugging .483 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .212 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .373 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Giants hitters have drawn 312 walks in 3,206 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 166 of 2,589 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .251 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Giants pitchers have walked 772 of 10,853 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D10
- Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
- Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Castellanos (Phillies): Toe, Day-to-Day
- James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Seranthony Domínguez (Phillies): Triceps, D15
- Símon Muzziotti (Phillies): Knee, D60
- Zachary Wheeler (Phillies): Forearm, D15
- Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D60
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