Phillies vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 2

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 02, 2022, 11:01 AM
  • The Phillies (73-58) are -110 favorites vs the Giants (61-68)
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson (9-5), 4.07 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (4-6), 3.81 ERA
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-110) on Friday, September 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Phillies vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Phillies are 72-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 57-69 ATS.

Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +150O 7.5 -105-110
Giants +1.5 -185U 7.5 -115-110

Phillies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Giants vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 49 away games (+16.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 53 away games (+15.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+13.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 43 games (+11.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.60 Units / 41% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+13.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+11.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 37 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 73 of their last 126 games (+16.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+7.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 away games (+6.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 away games (+6.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games at home (+15.15 Units / 23% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 67-62 against the Run Line (+3.7 Units / 2.37% ROI).

  • 72-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 2.22% ROI
  • 64-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -0.49% ROI
  • 59-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.05 Units / -7.78% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 57-69 against the Run Line (-20.75 Units / -13.17% ROI).

  • 60-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -27 Units / -14.38% ROI
  • 60-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -2.69% ROI
  • 58-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -6.3% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (27/150) against Kyle Gibson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 59% when ahead in the count (tied for seventh lowest)– 14th Percentile and 74% when behind in the count this season (sixth highest among qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (337/580) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (211/638) against Kyle Gibson on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Alexander Cobb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (196/319) against Alex Cobb this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (179/363) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (518/1,258) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 51% of the time (440/856) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Phillies are 11-44 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Phillies are 13-44 (.228) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Phillies are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 60-20 (.750) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Giants are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 48-4 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Giants are just 27-36 (.429) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Giants are 6-54 (.100) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of .783 (1,440 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Phillies are batting .268 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Phillies hitters are slugging .518 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Phillies hitters are slugging .483 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .448.

The Giants are batting just .212 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Giants hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Giants hitters are slugging just .373 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Giants hitters have drawn 312 walks in 3,206 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Phillies have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Phillies pitchers have walked 166 of 2,589 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .251 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Giants pitchers have walked 772 of 10,853 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
  • Austin Slater (Giants): Finger, Day-to-Day
  • Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D10
  • Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Joseph Bart (Giants): Concussion, D7
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
  • Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • Nicholas Castellanos (Phillies): Toe, Day-to-Day
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Seranthony Domínguez (Phillies): Triceps, D15
  • Símon Muzziotti (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • Zachary Wheeler (Phillies): Forearm, D15
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Giants vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.