Let’s see what the NFL betting odds show about the ability of the Browns to score this week.
The Browns’ Recent Struggles on Offense
The Cleveland Browns have struggled offensively in their last three matchups, averaging 10 points per contest. In their previous three home games, they’ve averaged 13 points.
The Browns’ offense hasn’t performed well in their last two games. Against the Lions’ 21st ranked pass defense (249.8 yards per game), he threw for 176 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions. His QBR was a lowly 8.3. However, Cleveland’s running game gave the Browns 184 yards and helped them escape with a win.
In the following week against Baltimore (who is 31st in passing yards allowed per game), Mayfield threw for 247 yards and a touchdown. However, the biggest issue for the Browns in this game was their rushing attack, which only produced 40 yards on 17 carries. For the Browns to put up points against Baltimore, they’ll need more than 2.4 yards per carry.
Can the Browns Score Points Against Baltimore?
If their last few games are any sign of what’s to come in Week 14, then the Browns’ scoring potential looks minimal.
Baltimore has had their own issues on offense, with Lamar Jackson throwing eight interceptions in his past four games (including four against Cleveland). In addition, they’ve given up 16 sacks in that same period.
Their defense has played well over the past three games, only allowing an average of 17 points. The Ravens rank ninth on the season in points allowed per game (21.7). They’re also tied for first in rushing defense (84.3 yards per game) and are first in 3rd-down conversion rate on defense (31.5%). Their passing defense might rank low, but they’re excellent at limiting points at getting offenses off the field.
This is bad news for the Browns, who, as mentioned above, need to run the ball to win.
Ravens vs. Browns
In their game against the Browns two weeks ago, Lamar Jackson threw four interceptions, and the Ravens still won. The Browns couldn’t convert those additional opportunities into points because of Baltimore’s running defense. It’s hard to imagine Jackson throwing another four interceptions.
Baltimore’s defense excels against the run. Even though the Browns’ running offense averages 147.1 yards per game, it’s hard to ignore their last meeting, when the Ravens dominated the Browns at the line of scrimmage. I believe that the same thing will happen this week. As a result, I’m expecting the Browns to have a hard time scoring, meaning that there are better picks this week for the King of the Weekend promotion.
Cleveland Browns: NFL Week 14
What do you think? Can the Cleveland Browns successfully exploit vulnerabilities in the Ravens’ secondary? Can they get their running game going this week and score points against Baltimore?
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