Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Below, bettors can find Premier League odds and an Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction.

Arsenal vs Chelsea: Premier League Odds

Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction

Based on Chelsea’s poor defensive record against weak competition and Arsenal’s defensive absentees, my Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction is Both Teams to Score – “Yes” (-135).

Up until this point, Arsenal’s defensive absentees meant exactly zero. The defense, which ranked first in EPL expected goals last year, closed north of -200 in their first two matches.

Coventry City and Aston Villa combined to place zero shots on target against Arsenal. Cumulatively, the attacks generated only 0.5 expected goals.

Chelsea offers a stiffer test for the Arsenal defense. They’ll confront the challenge without William Saliba, Christian Mosquera and Jurrien Timber.

Last year, Chelsea enjoyed attacking success against Arsenal. The attack cleared one expected goal in both meetings, scoring one goal apiece in those two encounters.

At home, Chelsea achieved that feat despite a Moises Caicedo red card after 35 minutes. Trevor Chalobah scored off a set piece in a match where Cole Palmer failed to feature.

At Arsenal, the Blues scored a goal off 1.1 expected goals and post-shot xG. While their tally came off an own goal, Chelsea missed a chance worth 0.6 post-shot xG.

Xabi Alonso’s tactics impressed me through two matches. While the attack ran lucky at Fulham, the unit posted superior metrics against Brighton.

At home, Chelsea scored four goals off 2.9 xG and 2.3 post-shot xG. However, they simultaneously allowed the Seagulls to reach 2.6 post-shot xG as underdogs.

When these teams last met, Arsenal created 2.1 post-shot xG against the Chelsea defense. At Stamford Bridge, they amassed 2.2 against a 10-man side.

Given those factors, I predict we see a reversal of Arsenal’s first two matches with both teams scoring.