Brentford vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Below, bettors can find Premier League odds and a Brentford vs Chelsea prediction.

Brentford vs Chelsea: Premier League Odds

Chelsea vs Brentford Prediction

Based on Chelsea’s troubling defensive record and Brentford’s short turnaround for the match, my Brentford vs Chelsea prediction is the Total Over 3.5 Goals (+120).

Let’s begin with the Chelsea attack against Brentford’s defense. For the latter, the match against one of the Premier League’s best attacks couldn’t come at a worse time.

Keith Andrews finds himself with few choices at the back. Both Nathan Collins and Sepp van den Berg are out until at least the international window.

On Matchday 4 at Bournemouth, Brentford’s defensive weakness showed. Against an attack comparable to Chelsea’s, the Bees surrendered 2.2 expected goals, a season high.

More concerning for Brentford: Andrews’ team faces two matches in four days. After going to Reading on Tuesday for the EFL Cup, they return home for a Friday clash with the Blues.

Chelsea cleared two post-shot xG in two of the previous three matches. Alonso’s only failure to clear that benchmark came as a road underdog against Arsenal on Matchday 3.

Last year at the GTech Community Stadium, Chelsea bossed the Brentford defense. Cole Palmer and Moises Caicedo scored in the second half as the Blues created 2.2 psxG.

But Brentford also found attacking success. The Bees opened the scoring and added a late equalizer en route to creating 2.3 post-shot expected goals.

Chelsea’s defensive woes have continued this season, despite a managerial change. They’ve yet to keep a clean sheet, with all four opponents clearing 1.2 post-shot xG.

On Matchday 4, Chelsea looked abysmal defensively as a two-goal home favorite vs. Hull City. The visitors notched two tallies against Chelsea’s defense off 1.5 xG and 1.4 post-shot xG.

Brentford poses a much tougher test for Chelsea’s defense. Accordingly, I predict goals will flow on Friday in the latest London derby.