- Brighton is predicted to be a -1.5-goal favorite against Ipswich Town.
- Brighton is one of five unbeaten Premier League teams to start the season.
- I predict Brighton is a good moneyline parlay leg against Ipswich Town.
Out of the international break, Brighton look to continue their positive results at home against Ipswich Town.
A red card changed the scope of Brighton’s last fixture vs. Arsenal. The Seagulls gained a man advantage early in the second half and captured a point as big road underdogs.
As for Ipswich, they finally earned points. A Liam Delap strike gave the Tractor Boys a lead, but the match ended 1-1 against Fulham.
Here’s a look at the Premier League odds and my prediction for this fixture.
Brighton vs. Ipswich Town Odds, Premier League
- Brighton Moneyline: -275
- Ipswich Town Moneyline: +675
- Draw Moneyline: +400
- Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-185/+130)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes (-120), No (-115)
Brighton vs. Ipswich Town Prediction: Moneyline
My prediction for Brighton vs. Ipswich is to use the Brighton Moneyline (-275) as a parlay piece.
I’ll pair it with the Crystal Palace Moneyline (-160) for a price of +121. Head to my Crystal Palace vs. Leicester City prediction for a breakdown of the Palace moneyline.
Regarding Brighton, the Seagulls thoroughly dominated newly promoted teams last season.
Even though they finished 1-2-0 (W-D-L) in the three home games against such teams, two were played on short rest following a Thursday match, with one featuring a Brighton red card.
Still, they managed to post a +6.7 post-shot xGDiff in the two matches played on level terms, per fbref.com.
Plus, Fabian Huerzler’s side dominated Manchester United in their lone home match of the season. The game finished 2-1 Brighton, but the Seagulls won the psxG battle 2.5-0.4.
It should be fairly obvious Manchester United is a superior team to Ipswich Town, who have admittedly faced a difficult schedule.
However, just before the break, they pulled out a lucky 1-1 draw against Fulham. For the match, the Tractor Boys lost the psxG battle 1.1 to 0.4.
Finally, Brighton matches a historically profitable system.
Since 2012, home favorites priced between -330 and +114 with 13-15 days between games are 73.1% SU, assuming their previous game margin fell between -1 and +2.
When those teams are priced between -330 and -230, they improve to 85.2% SU.
As a result, Brighton should cruise against Ipswich out of the break.
Brighton Record, Last 5 Matches
- Aug. 31 at Arsenal: 1-1, D
- Aug. 27 vs. Crawley: 4-0, W (EFL Cup)
- Aug. 24 vs. Manchester United: 2-1, W
- Aug. 17 at Everton: 3-0, W
- Aug. 10 vs. Villarreal: 4-0, W (Friendly)
Ipswich Town Record, Last 5 Matches
- Aug. 31 vs. Fulham: 1-1, D
- Aug. 28 at Wimbledon: 2-2, D (EFL Cup, Ipswich Advance)
- Aug. 24 at Manchester City: 1-4, L
- Aug. 17 vs. Liverpool: 0–2, L
- Aug. 10 vs. Nice: 1-0, W (Friendly)
Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for the latest Brighton & Hove Albion odds and Ipswich Town odds!
EPL Match Schedule This Weekend
| Home | Away | Date | Time (ET) | Location |
| Everton | West Ham United | Mar. 15 | 11 a.m. | Goodison Park |
| Ipswich Town | Nottingham Forest | Mar. 15 | 11 a.m. | The City Ground |
| Manchester City | Brighton | Mar. 15 | 11 a.m. | Etihad Stadium |
| Southampton | Wolves | Mar. 15 | 11 a.m. | St. Mary's Stadium |
| Bournemouth | Brentford | Mar. 15 | 1:30 p.m. | Vitality Stadium |
| Arsenal | Chelsea | Mar. 16 | 9:30 a.m. | Emirates Stadium |
| Fulham | Tottenham | Mar. 16 | 9:30 a.m. | Craven Cottage |
| Leicester City | Manchester United | Mar. 16 | 3 p.m. | King Power Stadium |
EPL Standings
| Team | Record (Wins-Draws-Losses) | Points | Goal Differential |
| Liverpool | 21-7-1 | 70 | 42 |
| Arsenal | 16-10-3 | 58 | 29 |
| Nottingham Forest | 16-6-7 | 54 | 14 |
| Chelsea | 14-7-8 | 49 | 16 |
| Manchester City | 14-6-9 | 48 | 15 |
| Newcastle United | 14-5-9 | 47 | 9 |
| Brighton | 12-11-6 | 47 | 6 |
| Fulham | 12-9-8 | 45 | 5 |
| Aston Villa | 12-9-8 | 45 | -4 |
| Bournemouth | 12-8-9 | 44 | 12 |
| Brentford | 12-5-12 | 41 | 5 |
| Crystal Palace | 10-9-9 | 39 | 3 |
| Manchester United | 10-7-12 | 37 | -3 |
| Tottenham | 10-4-15 | 34 | 12 |
| Everton | 7-13-9 | 34 | -4 |
| West Ham | 9-7-13 | 34 | -16 |
| Wolves | 7-5-17 | 26 | -18 |
| Ipswich Town | 3-8-18 | 17 | -34 |
| Leicester City | 4-5-20 | 17 | -40 |
| Southampton | 2-3-24 | 9 | -49 |
EPL ATS Records
| Team | ATS Record | ATS% | Home ATS Record | Home ATS% | Road ATS Record | Road ATS% |
| Arsenal | 11-13-5 | 46.6% | 4-7-3 | 39.3% | 7-6-2 | 53.3% |
| Aston Villa | 11-17-1 | 40.0% | 5-9-1 | 36.7% | 6-8-0 | 42.9% |
| Bournemouth | 17-11-1 | 60.3% | 7-7-0 | 50.0% | 10-4-1 | 70.0% |
| Brentford | 17-10-2 | 62.1% | 8-7-0 | 53.3% | 9-3-2 | 71.4% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 17-11-1 | 60.3% | 7-7-0 | 59.0% | 10-4-1 | 70.0% |
| Chelsea | 10-17-2 | 37.9% | 5-8-1 | 39.3% | 5-9-1 | 36.7% |
| Crystal Palace | 16-9-3 | 62.5% | 6-6-3 | 50.0% | 10-3-0 | 76.9% |
| Everton | 15-10-4 | 58.6% | 7-6-2 | 53.3% | 8-4-2 | 64.3% |
| Fulham | 17-10-2 | 62.1% | 7-8-0 | 46.7% | 9-3-2 | 71.4% |
| Ipswich Town | 11-16-2 | 41.4% | 4-11-0 | 26.7% | 7-5-2 | 57.1% |
| Leicester City | 12-16-1 | 43.1% | 5-10-0 | 33.3% | 7-6-1 | 53.6% |
| Liverpool | 15-13-1 | 53.4% | 6-7-1 | 46.4% | 9-6-0 | 60.0% |
| Manchester City | 9-20-0 | 31.0% | 4-10-0 | 28.6% | 5-10-0 | 33.3% |
| Manchester United | 12-13-4 | 48.3% | 6-7-2 | 46.7% | 6-6-2 | 50.0% |
| Newcastle United | 15-12-1 | 55.4% | 8-5-0 | 61.5% | 7-7-1 | 50.0% |
| Nottingham Forest | 19-10-0 | 65.5% | 9-5-0 | 64.3% | 10-5-0 | 66.7% |
| Southampton | 10-16-3 | 39.7% | 2-11-1 | 17.9% | 8-5-2 | 60.0% |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 11-17-1 | 39.7% | 5-9-1 | 36.7% | 6-8-0 | 42.9% |
| West Ham United | 15-13-1 | 53.4% | 5-9-1 | 36.7% | 10-4-0 | 71.4% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 13-13-3 | 50.0% | 5-7-2 | 42.9% | 8-6-1 | 56.7% |
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