Fulham vs. Manchester United Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

  • Fulham is a -0.5-goal home favorite against Manchester United.
  • Manchester United has won each of its last seven EPL away matches against Fulham.
  • My Fulham vs. Manchester United prediction focuses on the pregame over/under.

To bring Matchday 23 of the Premier League to a close, Fulham hosts Manchester United at Craven Cottage.ย 

Marco Silvaโ€™s side earned a 2-0 road win at Leicester City last week. It marks the ninth time in the last 10 matches Fulham earned at least a point.ย 

Unitedโ€™s woes continued last week with a 3-1 home defeat to Brighton. Over their last six matches, a 3-1 win over Southampton remains their only outright win.ย 

Check out the Premier League odds and my Fulham vs. Manchester United prediction.ย 

Fulham vs. Manchester United Odds, Premier League

Fulham vs. Manchester United Prediction

Based on the short rest spot for Manchester United and the Red Devilsโ€™ expected positive regression, my Fulham vs. Manchester United prediction is Over 2.5 Goals (-130).ย 

The Matchday 1 clash between these teams resulted in a 1-0 United win. However, the underlying metrics suggested a higher goal tally.ย 

United created 2.4 xG and 2.07 post-shot xG against Fulham, who failed to score off 0.92 post-shot xG.ย 

That should fall off a touch with United playing away from home. However, the fact remains theyโ€™re a major positive regression candidate offensively.ย 

This season, United have scored 27 goals off 32.5 expected and 28.1 post-shot xG, per fbref.com.ย 

The issue? Unitedโ€™s defense leaves much to be desired. Entering Sundayโ€™s fixture, Ruben Amorim leads a team ranking 13th in xGA and 12th in post-shot xGA.ย 

While Fulham has proven a relatively inconsistent attack this season, they should succeed against a bad United defense playing on short rest.ย 

Fulham has also proven an over machine at Craven Cottage since rejoining the Premier League in 2022.ย 

Over that span, the Cottagers posted a 31-16-2 record to the over at home, including 8-3 this season.ย 

The kicker? When Fulham played their last game, and it finished under the total, theyโ€™re 14-6 to the over in their next match, including 5-0 this season.ย 

As a result, back a high-scoring match on Sunday in London.

Premier League Match Schedule

First Bet Offer $1,500 FBO
HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
BrightonChelseaFeb. 143 p.m.Amex Stadium
Leicester CityArsenalFeb. 157:30 a.m.King Power Stadium
Aston VillaIpswich TownFeb. 1510 a.m.Villa Park
FulhamNottingham ForestFeb. 1510 a.m.Craven Cottage
Man CityNewcastle UnitedFeb. 1510 a.m.Etihad Stadium
SouthamptonBournemouthFeb. 1510 a.m.St. Mary's Stadium
West Ham UnitedBrentfordFeb. 1510 a.m.London Stadium
Crystal PalaceEvertonFeb. 1512:30 p.m.Selhurst Park
LiverpoolWolvesFeb. 169 a.m.Anfield
TottenhamManchester UnitedFeb. 1611:30 a.m.Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Premier League Against the Spread Records

TeamATS RecordATS%Home ATS RecordHome ATS%Road ATS RecordRoad ATS%
Arsenal9-10-547.9%3-6-337.5%6-4-258.3%
Aston Villa8-15-135.4%3-8-129.2%5-7-041.7%
Bournemouth16-8-066.7%7-5-058.3%9-3-075.0%
Brentford14-8-262.5%8-5-061.5%6-3-263.6%
Brighton & Hove Albion12-11-152.1%4-7-036.4%8-4-165.4%
Chelsea9-13-241.7%4-7-137.5%5-6-145.8%
Crystal Palace13-8-360.4%4-5-345.8%9-3-075.0%
Everton12-9-256.5%6-5-154.2%6-4-159.1%
Fulham14-8-262.5%5-7-041.7%8-2-275.0%
Ipswich Town10-13-143.8%4-9-030.8%6-4-159.1%
Leicester City11-12-147.9%5-7-041.7%6-5-154.2%
Liverpool13-9-158.7%5-5-150.0%8-4-066.7%
Manchester City7-17-029.2%3-8-027.3%4-9-030.8%
Manchester United10-12-245.8%5-7-142.3%5-5-150.0%
Newcastle United13-10-156.3%7-5-058.3%6-5-154.2%
Nottingham Forest16-8-066.7%7-5-058.3%9-3-075.0%
Southampton9-12-343.8%2-8-122.7%7-4-261.5%
Tottenham Hotspur9-15-037.5%4-8-033.3%5-7-041.7%
West Ham United12-11-152.1%4-7-137.5%8-4-066.7%
Wolverhampton Wanderers10-12-245.8%5-6-145.8%5-6-145.8%

Premier League Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Liverpool17-5-15635
Arsenal14-8-25027
Nottingham Forest14-5-54713
Chelsea12-7-54316
Manchester City12-5-74113
Newcastle United12-5-74113
Bournemouth11-7-64013
Aston Villa10-7-737-3
Fulham9-9-6364
Brighton8-10-634-3
Brentford9-4-11310
Crystal Palace7-9-830-2
Manchester United8-5-1129-6
Tottenham8-3-132711
West Ham United7-6-1127-17
Everton6-8-926-5
Wolves5-4-1519-18
Leicester City3-5-1517-28
Ipswich Town3-7-1416-27
Southampton2-3-199-36

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.