Ipswich Town vs. Fulham Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

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Fulham's Rodrigo Muniz in action during the English FA Cup fourth round match between Fulham and Newcastle United at Craven Cottage In London, Saturday, Jan. 27, 2024.
(AP Photo/Alastair Grant)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Aug 30, 2024, 12:50 PM
  • Ipswich Town is predicted to be a +0.5-goal underdog against Fulham.
  • In a League Cup meeting last year, Fulham captured a 3-1 win over Ipswich.
  • My prediction for Saturdayโ€™s match is a Same Game Parlay.

Seeking their second straight win against a newly-promoted side, Fulham travel to face Ipswich Town.ย 

The Cottagers avenged their Matchday 1 defeat on Saturday with a 2-1 win over Leicester City. Ipswich, meanwhile, took a 1-0 lead at Man City but conceded four unanswered to lose 4-1.ย 

This match marks the second meeting between these sides in the last calendar year. Last November, Fulham won 3-1 at Portman Road in a Cup tie.ย 

Hereโ€™s a look at the Premier League odds and my prediction for Saturdayโ€™s match.ย 

Ipswich Town vs. Fulham Odds, Premier League

  • Ipswich Town Moneyline: +195
  • Fulham Moneyline: +130
  • Draw Moneyline: +250
  • Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-145/+105)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (-165), No (+120)

Ipswich Town vs. Fulham Prediction: Same Game Parlay

My prediction for Saturdayโ€™s match is a Same Game Parlay: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals (-110).ย 

Ipswich finally receive a reprieve in the schedule.ย 

The Tractor Boys opened against Liverpool and City. Across both matches, Kieran McKennaโ€™s side created only 0.8 expected goals.ย 

Now they get a Fulham side that surrendered 1.72 psxG to Leicester City in their last match. Plus, Fulham will play this match on short rest after a midweek road game.ย 

That should allow Ipswich to find the net at least once. In their last match against Fulham โ€” with a worse attack โ€” they managed 0.65 xG, per fotmob.com.ย 

The problem? They simultaneously allowed 1.7 expected goals to Fulham, who have succeeded offensively against recently promoted teams.ย 

In their last seven matches against promoted teams, manager Marco Silvaโ€™s side has created 1.46 xG per 90 minutes, per fbref.com.ย 

Of those seven matches, five cashed this same game parlay.ย 

This game also matches a historically profitable betting system.ย 

Games featuring a home underdog with a total of 2.5 goals are 61.5% to the over since 2012, assuming two factors:

  • The visitorโ€™s previous O/U margin is between +0 and +7
  • The visitorโ€™s previous game margin is between +0 and +4

Just over the last two seasons, itโ€™s 46-25 to the over (64.8%).ย 

As a result, expect goals to flow on Saturday at Portman Road.ย 

Ipswich Town Record, Last 5 Matches

  • Aug. 24 at Man City: 1-4, L
  • Aug. 17 vs. Liverpool: 0-2, L
  • Aug. 10 vs. OGC Nice: 1-0, W (Friendly)
  • Aug. 3 at Hoffenheim: 1-0, W (Friendly)
  • July 27 vs. Dusseldorf: 1-2, L (Friendly)

Fulham Record, Last 5 Matches

  • Aug. 24 vs. Leicester City: 2-1, W
  • Aug. 16 vs. Manchester United: 0-1, L
  • Aug. 10 at Hoffenheim: 2-0, W (Friendly)
  • Aug. 5 vs. Sevilla: 1-2, L (Friendly)
  • Aug. 2 at Benfica: 1-0, W (Friendly)

Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for the latest Ipswich Town odds and Fulham odds!ย 

EPL Match Schedule This Weekend

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
SouthamptonManchester UnitedSep. 147:30 a.m.St. Mary's Stadium
Brighton & Hove AlbionIpswich TownSep. 1410 a.m.Amex Stadium
Crystal PalaceLeicester CitySep. 1410 a.m.Selhurst Park
FulhamWest Ham UnitedSep. 1410 a.m.Craven Cottage
LiverpoolNottingham ForestSep. 1410 a.m.Anfield
Manchester CityBrentfordSep. 1410 a.m.Etihad Stadium
Aston VillaEvertonSep. 1412:30 p.m.Villa Park
BournemouthChelseaSep. 143:30 p.m.Vitality Stadium
TottenhamArsenalSep. 159 a.m.Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
WolvesNewcastle UnitedSep. 1511 a.m.Molineux

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Liverpool3-0-097
Manchester City3-0-097
Arsenal2-1-074
Brighton & Hove Albion2-1-074
Newcastle United2-1-072
Brentford2-0-161
Aston Villa2-0-160
Bournemouth1-2-051
Tottenham Hotspur1-1-143
Nottingham Forest1-2-051
Chelsea1-1-142
Fulham1-1-140
West Ham United1-0-23-1
Manchester United1-0-23-3
Leicester City0-1-21-2
Crystal Palace0-1-21-3
Ipswich Town0-1-21-5
Wolverhampton Wanderers0-1-21-6
Southampton0-0-30-4
Everton0-0-30-8

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.Home ATS RecordHome ATS Win Pct.Road ATS RecordRoad ATS Win Pct.
Arsenal1-2-0.3330-2-0.0001-0-01.000
Aston Villa2-1-0.6670-1-0.0002-0-01.000
Bournemouth3-0-01.0001-0-01.0002-0-01.000
Brentford2-1-0.6672-0-01.0000-1-0.000
Brighton & Hove Albion3-0-01.0001-0-01.0002-0-01.000
Chelsea1-2-0.3330-2-0.0001-0-01.000
Crystal Palace1-2-0.3330-1-0.0001-1-0.500
Everton0-3-0.0000-2-0.0000-1-0.000
Fulham1-2-0.3331-0-01.0000-2-0.000
Ipswich Town1-2-0.3331-1-0.5000-1-0.000
Leicester City1-2-0.3331-1-0.5000-1-0.000
Liverpool3-0-01.0001-0-01.0002-0-01.000
Manchester City3-0-01.0001-0-01.0002-0-01.000
Manchester United1-2-0.3331-1-0.5000-1-0.000
Newcastle United1-2-0.3331-1-0.5000-1-0.000
Nottingham Forest1-2-0.3330-2-0.0001-0-01.000
Southampton1-2-0.3330-1-0.0001-1-0.500
Tottenham Hotspur1-2-0.3331-0-01.0000-2-0.000
West Ham United1-2-0.3330-2-0.0001-0-01.000
Wolverhampton Wanderers2-1-0.6670-1-0.0002-0-01.000
EPL Odds

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.