Leicester City vs. Tottenham Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Tottenham's James Maddison, centre, celebrates with Tottenham's Son Heung-min after scoring his side's second goal during the English Premier League soccer match between Tottenham Hotspur and Fulham at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, Monday, Oct. 23, 2023.
(Kin Cheung/AP Photo)
  • Leicester City is predicted to be a +0.5-goal underdog against Tottenham.
  • Tottenham have won four of the last five matches against Leicester.
  • My prediction for Mondayโ€™s match centers around Tottenhamโ€™s team total.

Matchday 1 of the Premier League ends on Monday as newcomer Leicester City host Tottenham.ย 

Leicester won the Championship last season after suffering relegation from the top flight in 2022. Now Leicester face a Spurs side which has won four of the last five meetings.ย 

As for Tottenham, theyโ€™ll begin their second season under Ange Postecoglou after finishing fifth last season. Last year, they were 6-5 SU as a road favorite.

Hereโ€™s a look at the Premier League odds and my prediction for Mondayโ€™s match.ย 

Leicester City vs. Tottenham Odds, Premier League

  • Leicester City Moneyline: +380
  • Tottenham Moneyline: -160
  • Draw Moneyline: +320
  • Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (+120/-165)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (-185), No (+125)

Leicester City vs. Tottenham Prediction: Team Total Parlay

My prediction for Mondayโ€™s match is Tottenham 2H Over 0.5 (-275). To bring the price down, Iโ€™ll parlay it with Newcastle Moneyline to get it to -117.ย 

Those who want to be more adventurous can certainly take Spurs 2H goals over 1.5 (+160). Either way, this remains a Tottenham side that excels in the latter half.ย 

Last season, Postecoglouโ€™s side scored 25 first-half goals compared to 49 second-half goals.

The underlying metrics support that breakdown.ย 

Spurs created 29 expected goals in the opening frame compared to 49.65 xG in the second half, per understat.com.ย 

In 38 matches, Tottenham managed a second-half tally 25 times, a 65.8% hit rate.ย 

But Tottenham proved markedly better against the league’s worst teams.ย 

In 16 matches Spurs closed at -110 or higher, they scored a second-half goal in 14 of 16 matches, an 87.5% hit rate.ย 

Theyโ€™ve also excelled against this prop vs. Leicester City.ย 

In Tottenhamโ€™s last five matches against the Foxes, they scored a second-half goal four times.ย 

Conversely, Leicester struggled to keep top teams out in the second half last year.ย 

They played two Premier League teams in Cup matches โ€” Liverpool and Chelsea, both away from home โ€” and allowed a second-half goal in both matches.ย 

In tandem with that leg, check out my Newcastle vs. Southampton prediction for the analysis of Newcastle moneyline.ย 

Leicester City Record, Last 5 Matches

  • Aug. 10 at Lens: 0-3, L (Friendly)
  • Aug. 3 at Augsburg: 0-1, L (Friendly)
  • July 26 vs. Palermo: 0-1, L (Friendly)
  • July 23 vs. Shrewsbury: 2-1, W (Friendly)
  • July 20 at Villarreal: 2-1, W (Friendly)

Tottenham Record, Last 5 Matches

  • Aug. 10 vs. Bayern Munich: 2-3, L (Friendly)
  • Aug. 3 at Bayern Munich: 1-2, L (Friendly)
  • July 31 at K-League All Stars: 4-3, W (Friendly)
  • July 27 at Vissel Kobe: 3-2, W (Friendly)
  • July 20 at QPR: 2-0, W (Friendly)

Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for the latest Leicester City odds and Tottenham odds!

EPL Match Schedule This Weekend

HomeAwayDateTime (ET)Location
Newcastle UnitedManchester CitySep. 287:30 a.m.St. James' Park
ArsenalLeicester CitySep. 2810 a.m.Emirates Stadium
BrentfordWest Ham UnitedSep. 2810 a.m.GTech Community Stadium
ChelseaBrighton & Hove AlbionSep. 2810 a.m.Stamford Bridge
EvertonCrystal PalaceSep. 2810 a.m.Goodison Park
Nottingham ForestFulhamSep. 2810 a.m.The City Ground
WolvesLiverpoolSep. 2812:30 p.m.Molineux
Ipswich TownAston VillaSep. 299 a.m.Portman Road
Manchester UnitedTottenhamSep. 2911:30 a.m.Old Trafford
BournemouthSouthamptonSep. 303 p.m. Vitality Stadium

EPL Standings

TeamRecord (Wins-Draws-Losses)PointsGoal Differential
Manchester City4-1-0138
Liverpool4-0-1129
Aston Villa4-0-1123
Arsenal3-2-0115
Chelsea3-1-1106
Newcastle United3-1-1101
Brighton & Hove Albion2-3-094
Nottingham Forest2-3-092
Fulham2-2-182
Tottenham Hotspur2-1-274
Manchester United2-1-270
Brentford2-0-36-2
Bournemouth1-2-25-3
West Ham United1-1-34-4
Leicester City0-3-23-2
Crystal Palace0-3-23-3
Ipswich Town0-3-23-5
Southampton0-1-41-7
Everton0-1-41-9
Wolverhampton Wanderers0-1-41-9

EPL ATS Records

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.Home ATS RecordHome ATS Win Pct.Road ATS RecordRoad ATS Win Pct.
Arsenal3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Aston Villa4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Bournemouth3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Brentford3-2-0.6002-0-01.0001-2-0.333
Brighton & Hove Albion3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Chelsea3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Crystal Palace2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Everton1-4-0.2000-2-0.0001-2-0.333
Fulham2-3-0.4002-1-0.6670-2-0.000
Ipswich Town3-2-0.6001-1-0.5002-1-0.667
Leicester City2-3-0.4001-2-0.3331-1-0.500
Liverpool4-1-0.8002-1-0.6672-0-01.000
Manchester City3-2-0.6001-2-0.3332-0-01.000
Manchester United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Newcastle United2-3-0.4001-1-0.5001-2-0.333
Nottingham Forest3-2-0.6000-2-0.0003-0-01.000
Southampton1-4-0.2000-3-0.0001-1-0.500
Tottenham Hotspur2-3-0.4002-1-0.5000-2-0.000
West Ham United2-3-0.4000-3-0.0002-0-01.000
Wolverhampton Wanderers2-3-0.4000-2-0.0002-1-0.667

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