Liverpool vs Tottenham Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Tottenham will try to build space above the relegation zone as heavy underdogs to Liverpool. 

Igor Tudor’s Tottenham enters Sunday’s match riding a 10-match winless run. Currently, Spurs sit 17th in the Premier League, a point clear of the relegation zone. 

Liverpool sits sixth in the Premier League, three points outside the top four. If the season ended today, Liverpool would fail to qualify for the Champions League. 

Check out the Premier League odds and my Liverpool vs Tottenham prediction. 

Liverpool vs Tottenham: Premier League Odds

Tottenham vs Liverpool: Prediction

Based on pricing and Liverpool’s recent attacking success, my Liverpool vs Tottenham prediction is the Liverpool Team Total Over 2.5 Goals (+105). 

I’m reasonably confident Liverpool gets two goals in this match. Predicting whether they get to three or more is where the analysis becomes tricky. 

Tottenham has shipped at least two goals in nine straight Premier League fixtures. However, only Arsenal and Bournemouth have cleared this benchmark over that span. 

Tudor receives help defensively in the form of Cristian Romero. However, Tottenham’s defense suffered a massive blow in its last match, losing Micky van de Ven to suspension. 

Not since a trip to Burnley has Tottenham allowed under 1.9 expected goals. Four of their last five opponents cleared 2.1 xG. 

Liverpool has cleared this benchmark only five times all year. That should indicate how broken Tottenham’s defense is at the moment. 

If there’s a silver lining, it’s that Liverpool overtook this benchmark twice in its last three at home. Against a weak Newcastle defense, Liverpool scored four goals off 3.1 expected. 

The Reds luckily scored five against West Ham off 2.1 xG. However, I’d argue Tottenham offers an easier test than the current version of the Hammers. 

Plus, bettors have seen Liverpool’s attack thrive against a broken Spurs defense at home. Last April, the team faced a defense without both Romero and van de Ven. 

Arne Slot’s side scored five goals in that match, albeit off 2.3 expected goals. 

A sub-50% implied probability renders this market intriguing. If not for that prediction, the match would likely become a pass for me at current pricing.