- Man United is predicted to be a 0.5-goal home favorite against Liverpool.
- Manchester United has scored at least one goal in each of its last 22 EPL matches.
- My Man United vs Liverpool prediction is Man United Over 1.5 Goals (-125).
Manchester United will try to complete the league double over Liverpool on Sunday at Old Trafford.
The Red Devils captured a 2-1 home win over Brentford on Monday, their second straight victory. Currently, Manchester United sits third in the table.
Liverpool won 3-1 against Crystal Palace over the weekend, improving to fourth in the league. Arne Slot’s squad has won three matches on the bounce after dropping points in three straight.
Check out the Premier League odds and my Man United vs Liverpool prediction.
Man United vs Liverpool: Premier League Odds
Liverpool vs Man United: Prediction
Based on Manchester United’s strong attacking record and Liverpool’s fraudulent defensive record, my Man United vs Liverpool prediction is Man United Over 1.5 Goals (-125).
United failed to score at home only twice this season. However, they’ve cleared one expected goal in every Old Trafford fixture.
In terms of this line, United scored multiple goals 11 times in 17 matches. That sample includes six successes over their previous seven at home.
Now the attack gets a Liverpool side that won recently despite poor defensive metrics. Slot’s squad allowed at least 1.4 expected goals in four straight, including 2.2 against Crystal Palace.
For the season, Liverpool has run lucky defensively. The current title holders allowed 44 goals against 46.7 expected goals, per Understat.
Plus, the defense allowed multiple goals in 10 of 17 road matches. Earlier this year, the defense struggled to defend Manchester United at home.
Under different management, United notched two goals at Anfield. United generated 1.34 expected goals and five big scoring chances for the fixture, per FotMob.
Michael Carrick’s side also rates out as a potential positive regression candidate offensively. The Red Devils have scored 60 goals off 62.6 xG this year, including 33 vs. 34.9 at home.
Given those factors, I predict United continues its offensive success on Sunday at Old Trafford.
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