Manchester United vs. Liverpool Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

It’s the marquee Premier League fixture for Matchday 3: Manchester United vs. Liverpool at Old Trafford. 

These teams enter Sunday’s match off different results. United fell 2-1 to Brighton on Saturday, while Liverpool captured a 2-0 home win against Brentford. 

Old Trafford hasn’t been kind to Liverpool recently. They’ve failed to win three straight in all competitions after capturing two straight wins in Manchester. 

Here’s a look at the Premier League odds and my prediction for Sunday’s match. 

Manchester United vs. Liverpool Odds, Premier League

• Manchester United Moneyline: +270
• Liverpool Moneyline: -120
• Draw Moneyline: +300
• Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (+100/-135)
• Both Teams to Score: Yes (-250), No (+170)

Manchester United vs. Liverpool Prediction: Moneyline

My prediction for Sunday’s fixture is the Liverpool Moneyline (-120). 

The last meeting ended 2-2, but it was clear as day Liverpool played better. 

Expected goals finished 3.7 to 0.7 in the visitor’s favor. Remove Mo Salah’s penalty, and Liverpool still posted a +2.2 non-penalty xGDiff, per fotmob.com. 

That marked the second straight draw in this series, with the first meeting last season finishing 0-0. However, Liverpool won the xG battle 2.4-0.75 and the psxG battle 1.44-0.1. 

Timing should also be considered for those matches, with Liverpool playing both on short rest. 

Arne Slot’s side also matches two historically profitable betting systems. 

Since 2012, favorites priced between -250 and -103 in games 2-10 are 81% SU, assuming three factors:

• The opponent’s previous game margin is between -8 and -1
• The previous head-to-head result is between +0 and +4
• The previous game the opponent was the underdog

Even at -150 or shorter, teams are still 33-13 SU. 

One more: favorites shorter than -230 in games 1-20 that closed a favorite in their last game are 68.1% SU, assuming two factors:

• The opponent’s previous game margin is between -4 and -1
• The previous head-to-head result was +0 or +1

When those teams are coming off a win, they’re 69.1% SU. Off a win against a team that was an underdog: 51-21 SU. 

For those reasons, expect Liverpool to end their winless run at Old Trafford and to capture all three points. 

Manchester United Record, Last 5 Matches

• Aug. 24 at Brighton: 1-2, L
• Aug. 16 vs. Fulham: 1-0, W
• Aug. 10 vs. Man City: 1-1, D (City win on PK’s)
• Aug. 3 vs. Liverpool: 0-3, L (Friendly)
• July 31 vs. Real Betis: 3-2, W (Friendly)

Liverpool Record, Last 5 Matches

• Aug. 25 vs. Brentford: 2-0, W
• Aug. 17 at Ipswich Town: 2-0, W
• Aug. 11 vs. Las Palmas: 0-0, D (Friendly)
• Aug. 11 vs. Sevilla: 4-1, W (Friendly)
• Aug. 3 vs. Manchester United: 3-0, W (Friendly)

Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for the latest Manchester United odds and Liverpool odds!

EPL Match Schedule This Weekend