Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Below, bettors can find Premier League odds and a Tottenham vs Aston Villa prediction.

Tottenham vs Aston Villa: Premier League Odds

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Prediction

Based on Tottenham’s strong metrics in the last meeting at Villa Park and outstanding defense, my Tottenham vs Aston Villa prediction is the Tottenham Moneyline (+100).

Tottenham looked rather terrible as a home favorite against Everton on Matchday 4. The potential good news is that this match offers their best chance at a victory.

When these teams met last, Roberto de Zerbi had already taken charge of Tottenham. In his fourth match in charge, Tottenham delivered their best attacking performance.

At Villa Park, Tottenham amassed 1.9 post-shot expected goals with a +1.6 post-shot expected goal differential, per FotMob.

It marked one of three occasions in seven De Zerbi matches last year where Tottenham earned all three points.

While Tottenham has yet to earn all three points this season, the defense has at least shown up.

After a bad performance at Brentford without key defender Micky van de Ven, de Zerbi’s side has kept three straight opponents under 1.2 expected goals.

From Matchday 2 onward, Tottenham surrendered two goals compared to 2.8 xG and two post-shot xG.

At the other end, Tottenham gets an Aston Villa defense leaking chances. On Matchday 4, Nottingham Forest reached 2.5 post-shot xG at Villa Park.

It’s particularly concerning for a team that kept Arsenal and Hull City to 0.8 and 0.2 post-shot xG, respectively.

Pair that trend with Tottenham’s prior attacking success against Villa, and I predict the hosts take all three points on Saturday.