Pro football underdog lines in Week 14 only have three home teams listed as underdogs. Still, there’s some decent potential if you know where to look.
Current NFL betting odds show that home underdogs might not be such a longshot this week. So is there some value in placing bets on these three teams?
Let’s take a closer look.
New Orleans Saints at New York Jets (+190)
The first home underdog is the New York Jets (+190). They’ll be hosting the New Orleans Saints, who are favored by six.
New Orleans has injuries at quarterback and running back, and now Deonte Harris is suspended for the next three games. They’ve already lost five straight games. Last week, the team lost to the Dallas Cowboys largely because of Taysom Hill’s four interceptions. With RB Alvin Kamara sidelined, backup Mark Ingram returned to the lineup. Ingram carried the ball ten times for only 28 yards. Hill ended up being the team’s leading rusher with 101 yards on 11 attempts.
I’d take the Jets for either the spread or money line for those reasons. However, they need to play well in the second half, where the Saints have been the most dangerous.
New Orleans has averaged just over 13 points during their five-game losing streak in the fourth quarter. So, if the Jets gain an early lead, they’ll need to protect it in the final 15 minutes at home this week to get the win.
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Football Team (+160)
Another home underdog this week is the Washington Football Team (+160). They’ll host the Cowboys, an NFC East rival.
The WFT is on a four-game winning streak. However, the Cowboys have lost two out of their last four games and three out of their previous five. In addition, they’ve only scored 20 points or more twice in their last five: against the Las Vegas Raiders and Atlanta Falcons.
In their previous three games, the Cowboys have given up 24 points per matchup while the WFT has allowed 17. Because of how both teams have played in the past four weeks, especially Washington’s defense, I believe that Washington is a great bet to win in Week 14.
Seattle Seahawks at Houston Texans (+290)
The third home underdog in Week 14 is the Houston Texans (+300), who will host the Seattle Seahawks.
The Texans got shut out last week at home by the Indianapolis Colts, 31-0. The Seahawks won a wild game out west against the San Francisco 49ers, 30-23.
Houston (+7.5) is 2-10 ATS this season, while Seattle is 4-8. The Texans have averaged a mere 12 points in their last three matchups, while the Seahawks have scored slightly above 19 per game. For the season, the numbers aren’t much better. The Texans average 13.7 points per game while the Seahawks average 19.9.
This Sunday, the Texans will likely start Davis Mills, their third-round draft pick. It will be his seventh NFL start.
He struggled in Week 4 against the Buffalo Bills, but he showed a lot of potential in bouncing back against the New England Patriots in Week 5. Versus the Pats, Mills completed 72.4 percent of his passes for 312 yards and three touchdowns, with a passer rating of 141.7.
In Week 8 at home against the Los Angeles Rams, he achieved a passer rating of 106.3. Completing 76.3 of his passes, Mills threw for 310 yards with two touchdowns and an interception in a 38-22 defeat.
Last week, he briefly replaced Tyrod Taylor at home against the Colts. He went 6-for-14 for 49 yards.
In Week 14, Mills will be facing the worst passing defense in the NFL. Seattle has allowed 277 passing yards per contest in their previous three games. Houston has fared much better, only allowing 192.3 yards. Seattle’s offense also has problems sustaining drives. Last week against the 49ers was the first time this season that they won the time of possession.
The +290 odds make this a tempting opportunity for bettors. I believe there’s a chance that Davis Mills could find some rhythm against Seattle’s soft zone defense. With Seattle’s inability to sustain drives, Houston could have extra opportunities on offense to score points and steal a victory.
Which of These Pro Football Underdog Lines Do You Like?
What do you think? What pro football underdog lines do you prefer in Week 14?
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