Raiders vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL Preseason

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(AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 23, 2023, 2:19 PM
  • The Raiders are -4.5 point favorites vs the Cowboys
  • Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points

The Las Vegas Raiders visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys on Aug. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Arlington.

The Raiders are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Raiders vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.

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Raiders vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Raiders-4.5 -11038.5 -110-200
Cowboys +4.5 -11038.5 -110+165

Raiders vs. Cowboys Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Raiders will win this preseason game with 59.2% confidence.

Raiders vs Cowboys Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Raiders and Cowboys, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfrow has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Davante Adams has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfrow has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 65% ROI)

Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dak Prescott has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Michael Gallup has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Completions Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Raiders went 1-0 (+1 Units / 95.24% ROI).

  • Raiders are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 170% ROI
  • Raiders are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Raiders are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / ROI

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Cowboys went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Cowboys are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Cowboys are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Cowboys are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Raiders were winless (0-4) after a home win in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Raiders were 2-9 (.182) when not forcing a fumble in the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.

The Raiders were winless (0-7) when scoring less than 22 points in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .273.

The Raiders were 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards in the 2022 season — 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .369.

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Cowboys were 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — seventh-best in NFL. The Raiders averaged just 1.6 sacks per game over that time span — third-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys were 6-0 (1.000) when not throwing an interception last season — tied for best in NFL. The Raiders intercepted 6 passes last season — tied for fewest in NFL.

The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) after a loss in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .463.

The Cowboys are 9-1 (.900) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .445.

Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys had a third down conversion rate of 28.1% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — fifth-best in NFL. The Raiders defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 23.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG last season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys ran successful plays on 51.5% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last season — best in NFL. Raiders allowed successful plays on 54.9% of pass attempts on their own side of the field last season — worst in NFL.

Cowboys QBs were sacked 27 last season — fourth-fewest in NFL. The Raiders sacked the quarterback 27 times last season — third-fewest in NFL.

The Raiders scored just 3.9 points per Red Zone drive last season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Cowboys allowed just 4.0 points per Red Zone drive last season — tied for third-best in NFL.

The Raiders threw for 20+ yards on 16 of 138 attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-best in NFL. The Cowboys allowed 20+ yards on 12.9% of attempts in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.

The Raiders turned the ball over 14 times in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-most in NFL. The Cowboys forced 19 turnovers in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — second-most in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats

The Raiders scored on 62% of their drives in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Raiders had 12 TDs that were 20+ yards in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — tied for most in NFL.

The Raiders averaged 26.2 offensive penalty yards per game (446/17) in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 19.3.

The Raiders went three and out 4 times in the 2nd quarter in the 2022 season — tied for fewest in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats

The Cowboys have started 16 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys scored 5.0 points per Red Zone drive in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Cowboys have run successful plays on 49% of plays in the red zone since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Cowboys ran successful plays on 53% of plays in the red zone in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats

The Raiders defense allowed 4.2 touchdowns per interception (25 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

The Raiders defense has intercepted 12 of 1,195 attempts (99.6 pass attempts per int.) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.9.

The Raiders defense has allowed 4.5 TDs per interception (54 TDs allowed, and 12 INT) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

The Raiders defense intercepted 6 of 589 attempts (98.2 pass attempts per int.) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43.2.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats

The Cowboys defense forced 21 fumbles in the 2022 season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys defense has forced 68 turnovers since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

Only 40% of the plays ran against the Cowboys were in their own territory in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Cowboys defense has averaged 1.2 interceptions per game (42/34) since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.