Raiders vs Rams Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL Preseason

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(AP Photo/Peter Joneleit)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 16, 2023, 1:12 PM
  • The Raiders are -3.5 point favorites vs the Rams
  • Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points

The Las Vegas Raiders visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams on Aug. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Inglewood.

The Raiders are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Raiders vs. Rams Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.

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Raiders vs. Rams Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Raiders-3.5 -11038.5 -110-175
Rams +3.5 -11038.5 -110+145

Raiders vs. Rams Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Rams will win this preseason game with 63.0% confidence.

Raiders vs Rams Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Raiders and Rams, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfrow has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Davante Adams has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfrow has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 65% ROI)

Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Ben Skowronek has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.05 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Tyler Higbee has hit the Receptions Over in his last 3 games (+3.35 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Cam Akers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 2Q Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.30 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+5.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 41% ROI)

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Raiders went 1-0 (+1 Units / 95.24% ROI).

  • Raiders are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 170% ROI
  • Raiders are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Raiders are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / ROI

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Rams went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Rams are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -100% ROI
  • Rams are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Rams are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Raiders were winless (0-5) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .352.

The Raiders were 2-9 (.182) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .471.

The Raiders were 6-11 (.353) in the 2022 season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Raiders were 3-6 (.333) after a loss in the 2022 season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .463.

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Rams were winless (0-4) vs top 10 run defenses in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .435.

The Rams were 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — fifth-best in NFL. The Raiders averaged just 1.6 sacks per game over that time span — third-worst in NFL.

The Rams were 1-7 (.125) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Rams were winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .436.

Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Rams

The Rams scored on 43.6% of their drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-best in NFL. The Raiders defense allowed scores on 43.2% of opponent drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-worst in NFL.

The Rams averaged 5.5 yards per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-best in NFL. The Raiders allowed 6.0 yards per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.

The Rams had 5 rushing touchdowns in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for fourth-most in NFL. The Raiders allowed 6 rushing TDs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-most in NFL.

The Raiders scored on 42.5% of their drives last season — fourth-best in NFL. The Rams defense allowed scores on 40.8% of opponent drives last season — fifth-worst in NFL.

The Raiders went three and out on 5.9% of their drives in the first half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-best in NFL. Rams forced three and outs on 10.5% of opponent drives in the first half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats

The Raiders had 12 TDs that were 20+ yards in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — tied for most in NFL.

The Raiders went three and out 4 times in the 2nd quarter in the 2022 season — tied for fewest in NFL.

The Raiders started 9 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 2022 season — tied for fewest in NFL.

The Raiders had a third down conversion rate of 26% in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats

The Rams ran successful plays on 7% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Rams ran successful plays on 6% of plays in close and late situations in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Rams ran successful plays on 12% of plays in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Rams have averaged just 14.7 offensive penalty yards per game (499/34) since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 20.1.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats

The Raiders defense has intercepted 12 of 1,195 attempts (99.6 pass attempts per int.) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.9.

The Raiders defense has allowed 11 TD passes when the opposing QB has scrambled since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

The Raiders defense intercepted 6 of 589 attempts (98.2 pass attempts per int.) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43.2.

The Raiders defense has allowed 4.5 TDs per interception (54 TDs allowed, and 12 INT) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats

The Rams defense allowed successful plays on 62% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of just 79.3 in the red zone (165 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 94.9.

The Rams defense allowed successful plays on 55% of pass attempts in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Rams defense allowed 9 rushing TDs on 80 carries (8.9 Carries Per TD) in the red zone in the 2022 season — 2nd-best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.