Rams vs Buccaneers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 9

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 02, 2022, 1:26 PM
  • The Buccaneers (3-5) are -3 point favorites vs the Rams (3-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Los Angeles Rams (3-4) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5) on Nov. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Tampa.

The Buccaneers are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Rams vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Buccaneers vs Rams & all NFL games with BetMGM

Rams vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rams+3 -11542.5 -110+135
Buccaneers -3 -10542.5 -110-160

Rams vs. Buccaneers Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this Week 9 game with 67.5% confidence.

Rams vs Buccaneers Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread this Week 9 with 62.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rams and Buccaneers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Interceptions Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Darrell Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Van Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Ben Skowronek has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Darrell Henderson has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.40 Units / 36% ROI)

Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tom Brady has hit the TD Passes Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Tom Brady has hit the Completions Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Tom Brady has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.95 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Mike Evans has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Leonard Fournette has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.10 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams have gone 2-5 (-3.55 Units / -46.1% ROI).

  • Rams are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -14.63% ROI
  • Rams are 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • Rams are 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / ROI

Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers have gone 2-6 (-4.6 Units / -52.57% ROI).

  • Buccaneers are 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -53.28% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Rams are 12-3 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .545.

The Rams are winless (0-4) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .443.

The Rams are undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 22 points since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .745.

The Rams are 6-1 (.857) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .494.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Buccaneers were undefeated (6-0) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .471.

The Buccaneers are undefeated (10-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2020 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .660.

The Buccaneers are undefeated (7-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .655.

The Buccaneers were 5-2 (.714) vs top 10 defenses last season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .447.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 13.9% of pass attempts this season — second-best in NFL. The Rams have pressured opposing QBs on just 14.6% of passing plays this season — third-worst in NFL.

The Buccaneers have rushed the ball on just 28.0% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone this season — lowest in NFL. The Rams have allowed 2 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for second-fewest in NFL.

The Buccaneers are averaging just 2.5 yards per carry on rushes to the right side of the field this season — second-worst in NFL. The Rams have allowed just 3.9 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the right this season — tied for second-best in NFL.

The Rams have scored on 7.7% of their drives in late and close games this season — worst in NFL. The Buccaneers defense has allowed scores on 20% of opponent drives in close and late situations this season — tied for third-best in NFL.

Rams TEs have averaged 8.3 targets per game this season — fifth-highest in NFL. The Buccaneers have allowed 5.8 receptions per game to TEs this season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

The Rams have thrown for 20+ yards on 17 of 260 attempts this season — third-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts this season — fifth-best in NFL.

Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Rams are averaging 23.0 drives per TD in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.

The Rams ran 27% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Rams have 27 of 120 (23%) first downs have come on the ground (23%) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The Rams have faced a blitz 21% of the time on 1st down since Week 4 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Buccaneers converted first downs on 53 of 70 plays (76%) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Buccaneers threw the ball 77% of the time (108 Pass Attempts/140 plays) on second and 4-7 yards to go last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Buccaneers did not record a TD in 11 drives in Week 7 — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.

The Buccaneers have converted first downs on just 5 of 50 plays (10%) on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Rams defense allowed successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Rams have been flagged 4 times on Defense this season — fewest in NFL.

The Rams defense allowed a passer rating of just 71.5 in the red zone (79 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 96.0.

The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of just 6.3 in the red zone (8 Pass Attempts) since Week 4 — best in NFL; League Avg: 88.2.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 25% of plays since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Buccaneers defense did not allow a successful play on any play in the 1st quarter in Week 7 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Buccaneers defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Only 38% of the plays run against the Buccaneers have been in their own territory this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Buccaneers vs Rams and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.