Rangers vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 7

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 07, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Angels are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez
  • Angels starting pitcher: José Suarez
  • Watch the game on BSW

The Texas Rangers (+105) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-125) on Sunday, May 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Rangers vs Angels Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rangers are 19-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 16-18 ATS.

Rangers vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -185O 9.5 -110+105
Angels -1.5 +150U 9.5 -110-125

Rangers vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Over in his last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Robbie Grossman has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Robbie Grossman has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+13.50 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.85 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+10.55 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+7.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.20 Units / 96% ROI)

Angels vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Rendon 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Robbie Grossman 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Nate Lowe 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Mike Trout 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Angels vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Rendon 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Robbie Grossman 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Nate Lowe 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Mike Trout 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Angels vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Rendon 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Robbie Grossman 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Nate Lowe 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Mike Trout 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Angels vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Martin Perez 3.5 -135 3.5 +100
Jose Suarez 5.5 +125 5.5 -175
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 24 games (+17.05 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 24 games (+14.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 19-13 against the Run Line (+5.35 Units / 12.92% ROI).

  • 19-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 8.47% ROI
  • 20-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.8 Units / 22.13% ROI
  • 11-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.1 Units / -31.44% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 16-18 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -9.35% ROI).

  • 19-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.66% ROI
  • 16-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -5.5% ROI
  • 16-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -3.95% ROI

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 32% (21/66) against Martin Perez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (15/88) against Martin Perez this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (8/50) against Martin Perez on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 54% of Martin Perez’s pitches (492/912) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of .607 (116 Total Bases / 191 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .436 — 0 Percentile.

Jose Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of .738 (45 Total Bases / 61 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .382 — 0 Percentile.

Jose Suarez has allowed an OBP of .448 (96 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .321 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .377 (23-for-61) against Jose Suarez’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Rangers are just 36-34 (.514) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Rangers are just 36-51 (.414) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .540.

The Rangers are just 72-14 (.837) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.

The Rangers are just 1-91 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Angels are just 3-17 (.150) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 20-10 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Angels are 2-12 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Angels are just 6-16 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of .337 (921 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Rangers hitters are slugging .296 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.

Rangers hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Angels are just 3-17 (.150) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .259 (540 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .641 (4,054 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .290 (131 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the past seven days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 673 of 7,335 batters (9%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Rangers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Angels pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH (797 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Angels pitchers have walked 126 of 1,299 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Aaron Loup (Angels): Hamstring, D15
  • Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
  • Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
  • José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D15
  • Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
  • José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
  • Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
  • Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.