- The Orioles are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Texas Rangers (+105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-125) on Friday, May 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Rangers vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 31-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 33-17 ATS.
Rangers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -105 | +105 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -115 | -125 |
Rangers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 67.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+19.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+18.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+16.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+16.05 Units / 78% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+13.95 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+10.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+10.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+8.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+8.50 Units / 12% ROI)
Orioles vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Orioles vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Orioles vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Orioles vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Grayson Rodriguez | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
| Jon Gray | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 41 games (+21.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 41 games (+20.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 41 games (+20.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 41 games (+15.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 47 games (+16.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 37 games (+16.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+12.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.55 Units / 41% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 31-18 against the Run Line (+11.6 Units / 18.5% ROI).
- 31-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.25 Units / 15.54% ROI
- 29-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.05 Units / 14.91% ROI
- 19-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.9 Units / -23.91% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 33-17 against the Run Line (+15.05 Units / 23.91% ROI).
- 33-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.65 Units / 23.68% ROI
- 26-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.25 Units / 5.91% ROI
- 21-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -13.21% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jon Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (21 Total Bases / 28 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (9-for-76) against Jon Gray’s curve and slider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 100th Percentile.
Jon Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .233 (24 Total Bases / 103 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .373 — 92nd Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (25/76) against Jon Gray this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 10th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 45% (21/47) against Grayson Rodriguez on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to May 4th — Aaron Nola has the longest active streak at 7.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .095 (2 GB hits out of 21 GBs) against Grayson Rodriguez with runners on base this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .264 — 97th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of .700 (28 Total Bases / 40 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .396 — second Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rangers are 7-3 (.700) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
The Rangers are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Rangers are just 83-16 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Rangers are 31-18 (.633) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Orioles are 10-10 (.500) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Orioles are 4-12 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Orioles are 13-4 (.765) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Orioles are 15-8 (.652) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have grounded into 109 double plays in 1,444 opportunities (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .831 (524 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
The Rangers are batting .292 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
The Rangers have scored 6.33 runs per game (310/49) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.56.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 65% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Orioles hitters have just 126 strikeouts in 630 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Orioles are 132-79 (.623) against the run line (14.6% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles have scored 60 runs in close and late situations this season — most in MLB.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 177 of 1,878 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.44 (217.1 IP) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .138 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Orioles have won 57% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Orioles have won 55% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.59 (1499.0 IP) against division opponents since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Orioles vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
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