- The Rangers are -165 favorites vs the Pirates
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
- Pirates starting pitcher: Richard Hill
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The Texas Rangers (-165) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+135) on Tuesday, May 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Rangers vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 29-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 25-22 ATS.
Rangers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +105 | O 8 -110 | -165 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -125 | U 8 -110 | +135 |
Rangers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 76.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+17.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+16.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+16.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+14.05 Units / 77% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+13.90 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 73% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 61% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+7.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Tucupita Marcano has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+7.00 Units / 34% ROI)
Pirates vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Pirates vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Pirates vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Pirates vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rich Hill | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 39 games (+21.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 39 games (+19.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 39 games (+18.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games (+15.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+8.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 44 games (+7.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 30-17 against the Run Line (+11.55 Units / 19.03% ROI).
- 29-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 13.28% ROI
- 29-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.25 Units / 19.79% ROI
- 17-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.9 Units / -28.79% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 25-22 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.99% ROI).
- 25-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 11.79% ROI
- 22-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -3.96% ROI
- 22-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -3.49% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .042 (1-for-24) against Nathan Eovaldi — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has walked 10 of 233 batters (4%) this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 92nd Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OPS of just .514 (107 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .715 — 96th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi’s K:BB ratio is 8.7 (26/3) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.5 — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
11 of Rich Hill’s 27 breaking pitch strikeouts (41%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 98th Percentile.
11 of Rich Hill’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (46/143) against Rich Hill this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (405/796) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rangers are just 81-16 (.835) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Rangers are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Rangers are 7-3 (.700) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
The Rangers are just 1-94 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Pirates are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Pirates are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Pirates are just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 4-99 (.039) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting .338 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Rangers hitters have grounded into 109 double plays in 1,429 opportunities (8%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Rangers are batting .416 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Rangers are batting .271 this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .227 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .177 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .298 (4,083 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Pirates batted just .142 with two-strikes in 2022 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Rangers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 176 of 1,860 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 94 times this season — 4th fewest in MLB.
Rangers pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 746 of 7,997 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 281 of 3,232 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Pirates vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Duane Underwood Jr. (Pirates): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
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