Rangers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 21

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 21, 2022, 9:14 AM
  • The Twins (62-56) are -200 favorites vs the Rangers (54-66)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Kohei Arihara (0-1), 4.76 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan (9-5), 3.92 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Texas Rangers (+165) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-200) on Sunday, August 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Rangers vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 52-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 55-62 ATS.

Rangers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -120O 8.5 -115+165
Twins -1.5 +100U 8.5 -105-200

Rangers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s matchup with 57.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+17.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 42 away games (+15.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+13.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+12.25 Units / 25% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 32 games (+19.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 23 games at home (+18.10 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 36 games (+16.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 38 games at home (+13.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 46 games at home (+13.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 42 away games (+8.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 68 of their last 116 games (+15.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.50 Units / 40% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 66-52 against the Run Line (+9.45 Units / 6.16% ROI).

  • 52-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.25 Units / -9.8% ROI
  • 57-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 1.11% ROI
  • 51-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -8.66% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 55-62 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -6.74% ROI).

  • 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.1% ROI
  • 55-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -1.86% ROI
  • 53-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -5.72% ROI

The hardest ball hit off of Kohei Arihara was 111.5 MPH — tied for 12th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 108.3

Joseph Ryan: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 11% (4/36) against Joe Ryan — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (79/287) against Joe Ryan this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 25 of Joe Ryan’s 130 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 19%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 35% — fourth Percentile.

Joe Ryan has allowed a slugging percentage of .528 (65 Total Bases / 123 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .367 — fourth Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Rangers are just 42-8 (.840) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Rangers are just 51-60 (.459) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Rangers are just 24-136 (.150) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Rangers are 9-8 (.529) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 9-23 (.281) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

The Twins are 55-17 (.764) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Twins are just 53-7 (.883) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (7,288 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (12,589 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (3,154 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Twins hitters are slugging .604 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .570.

Twins hitters have just 55 strikeouts in 348 PA’s (16%) against RHP this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Twins hitters are slugging .421 against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Twins hitters are slugging .423 on the road since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Rangers pitchers have walked 104 of 1,071 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 431 of 4,567 batters (9%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 56 of 506 batters (11%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Twins pitchers over the last 14 days (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this month (16 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Ribcage, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
  • Kole Calhoun (Rangers): Heel, D10
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
  • Dennis Santana (Rangers): Ankle, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.