- The Ravens are -3.5 point favorites vs the Commanders
- Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Baltimore Ravens visit FedExField to take on the Washington Commanders on Aug. 21. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Landover.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Ravens vs. Commanders Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.
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Ravens vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ravens | -3.5 -110 | 38.5 -110 | -165 |
| Commanders | +3.5 -110 | 38.5 -110 | +140 |
Ravens vs. Commanders Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Commanders will win this preseason game with 61.0% confidence.
Ravens vs Commanders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Ravens and Commanders, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Devin Duvernay has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Devin Duvernay has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- Sammy Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Antonio Gibson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Curtis Samuel has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Logan Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have scored first in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.85 Units / 52% ROI)
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Ravens went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Ravens are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 37.04% ROI
- Ravens are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Ravens are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / ROI
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Commanders went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Commanders are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 125% ROI
- Commanders are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Commanders are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Ravens were 6-4 (.600) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2022 season — tied for 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .494.
The Ravens are winless (0-3) when allowing more than 50% of third down conversions opportunities since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .277.
The Ravens were 4-2 (.667) vs top 10 pass defenses in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .512.
The Ravens are 10-1 (.909) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .705.
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Commanders are 2-13 (.133) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
The Commanders are 1-6 (.143) after a road win since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .466.
The Commanders were 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2022 season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .411.
The Commanders were 3-8 (.273) when not forcing a fumble in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.
Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Washington Commanders
The Commanders averaged just 3.9 yards per carry last season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Ravens allowed just 4.0 yards per carry last season — third-best in NFL.
Commanders TEs had just 28.2 receiving yards per game in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Ravens allowed an average of just 25.8 receiving yards per game to TEs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-best in NFL.
The Commanders averaged just 3.7 yards per carry on 1st Down last season — tied for worst in NFL. The Ravens allowed just 4.1 yards per carry on first down last season — fifth-best in NFL.
The Ravens ran successful plays on just 38.4% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last season — fourth-worst in NFL. Commanders allowed successful plays on just 41.0% of pass attempts on their own side of the field last season — best in NFL.
The Ravens ran successful plays on just 15.8% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure last season — worst in NFL. The Commanders have pressured opposing QBs on 26.5% of passing plays last season — fifth-best in NFL.
The Ravens threw for 3,202 passing yards in 17 games (just 188.4 YPG) last season — third-worst in NFL. The Commanders allowed just 192.4 passing yards per game last season — fourth-best in NFL.
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats
The Ravens targeted TEs 42% of the time (203 Pass Attempts/488 plays) in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Ravens targeted WRs 41% of the time (198 Pass Attempts/488 plays) in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Ravens have thrown the ball 18% of the time (21 Pass Attempts/119 plays) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Ravens targeted TEs 51% of the time (39 Pass Attempts/76 plays) in the red zone in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders started 66 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 2022 season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Commanders ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Commanders have been flagged 27 times for 10+ yards on offense since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.
The Commanders went three and out 17 times in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — tied for 2nd-most in NFL.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats
29% of the plays ran against the Ravens were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
23% of the plays ran against the Ravens were in the red zone in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Ravens defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 30% in the 1st half since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Ravens defense allowed just 7.4 points per game to opposing offenses (125 points / 17 games) in the 1st half in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10.7.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense has allowed 15 touchdown receptions to RBs since the 2021 season — most in NFL.
The Commanders defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Commanders defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (16 completions/36 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 63%.
The Commanders defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 7% on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
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