- The Rays are -175 favorites vs the Orioles
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
- Watch the game on MASN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-175) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+145) on Monday, May 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 28-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 21-13 ATS.
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 -105 | O 8.5 -105 | -175 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -115 | U 8.5 -115 | +145 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 65.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 33 games (+18.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in his last 9 away games (+12.75 Units / 142% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 away games (+9.55 Units / 97% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+8.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.65 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+8.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.70 Units / 74% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+7.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 38% ROI)
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Yandy Diaz | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -190 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane McClanahan | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -120 |
| Kyle Gibson | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 35 games (+17.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+9.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 22-13 against the Run Line (+10.3 Units / 25.98% ROI).
- 28-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.8 Units / 27.97% ROI
- 19-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.3 Units / 11.13% ROI
- 13-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -21.51% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 21-13 against the Run Line (+7.4 Units / 17.83% ROI).
- 22-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 18.49% ROI
- 20-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 16.09% ROI
- 13-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.8 Units / -23.34% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (112/278) against Shane McClanahan this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (126/322) against Shane McClanahan this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (83/195) against Shane McClanahan in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has a strikeout rate of 46% (19 SO in 41 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .465 (20-for-43) against Kyle Gibson when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has allowed a slugging percentage of .632 (48 Total Bases / 76 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .398 — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has allowed a slugging percentage of .438 (32 Total Bases / 73 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .265 — fourth Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has allowed an OPS of 1.067 (85 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .713 — third Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 8-1 (.889) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Rays are 28-7 (.800) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 6-5 (.545) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 6-4 (.600) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
The Orioles are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Orioles are 14-11 (.560) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .576 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .943 (267 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .869 (1,338 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Rays hitters are slugging .369 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .815 (492 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
Orioles hitters have just 98 strikeouts in 492 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles are batting just .155 with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 65% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .108 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 61% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.75 (1414.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Forearm, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D15
Bet now on Rays vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
