- The Rays are -120 favorites vs the Pirates
- Rays starting pitcher: Luis Patiño, 0.00 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Osvaldo Bido, 6.75 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The Tampa Bay Rays (-120) visit LECOM Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+100) on Friday, March 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bradenton.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rays vs Pirates Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Rays are 6-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 6-8 ATS.
Rays vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +125 | O 11.5 +100 | -120 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -150 | U 11.5 -120 | +100 |
Rays vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the NA will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 0.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.75 Units / 138% ROI)
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 110% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ji-wan Bae has hit the Runs Over in his last 3 games (+5.65 Units / 188% ROI)
- Greg Allen has hit the Runs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.50 Units / 183% ROI)
- Josh VanMeter has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 away games (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.85 Units / 22% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 98 games (+12.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+10.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games at home (+8.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+6.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 9-5 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 24.65% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -7.76% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 10.86% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -17.63% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 6-8 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -24.31% ROI).
- 3-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -44.71% ROI
- 10-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.75 Units / 43.27% ROI
- 3-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -50.82% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Patino has limited playing time.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rays are 51-30 (.630) at home last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Rays are 54-8 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rays are 40-11 (.784) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Rays are just 72-11 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Pirates are just 58-133 (.304) on the road since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Pirates are just 58-87 (.400) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Pirates are just 3-79 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Pirates are just 27-53 (.338) on the road last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have grounded into 167 double plays in 2,182 opportunities (8%) since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays hitters put 39% of their swings in play against LHP last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rays hitters struck out just 29 times in 177 PA’s (16%) against LHP over the last 30 days of the regular season (17 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .145 with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,601 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .450 (6,270 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 168 of 2,905 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 820 of 11,928 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 988 of 14,140 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers walked 384 of 5,930 batters (7%) last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,439 of 14,594 batters (10%) since the start of 2020 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 242 of 2,817 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games on the road last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Pirates allowed 1.70 runs per game (273/161) in late innings last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Pirates vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
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