- The Rays are -145 favorites vs the White Sox
- Rays starting pitcher: Calvin Faucher
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Tampa Bay Rays (-145) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+120) on Saturday, April 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Rays vs White Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 22-5 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 11-16 ATS.
Rays vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +110 | O 9.5 -120 | -145 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -135 | U 9.5 +100 | +120 |
Rays vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 67.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 away games (+10.25 Units / 146% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 64% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.75 Units / 79% ROI)
White Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manuel Margot | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Luke Raley | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
White Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manuel Margot | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Luke Raley | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
White Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manuel Margot | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Luke Raley | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
White Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 27 games (+15.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+10.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+10.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.00 Units / 23% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 18-9 against the Run Line (+10.05 Units / 32.63% ROI).
- 22-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.3 Units / 30.39% ROI
- 14-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 9.61% ROI
- 10-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -19.16% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 11-16 against the Run Line (-7.65 Units / -21.73% ROI).
- 7-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.05 Units / -46.76% ROI
- 13-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 3.54% ROI
- 11-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -11.09% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Calvin Faucher has thrown his slider 58% of the time (142/244) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Calvin Faucher has thrown breaking pitches 65% of the time (158/244) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Calvin Faucher has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to April 15th — John Brebbia has the longest active streak at 12.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% (10/40) against Calvin Faucher on low breaking pitches this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 10th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
5 of Lance Lynn’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .717 (33 Total Bases / 46 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .400 — second Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .655 (19 Total Bases / 29 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — fifth Percentile.
Lance Lynn has a first-pitch strike rate of 73% (90/124) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 97th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Rays are 2-5 (.286) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .039.
The Rays are 2-5 (.286) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Rays are 5-2 (.714) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Rays are 5-4 (.556) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .199.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The White Sox are just 4-4 (.500) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The White Sox are just 9-72 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The White Sox are just 1-8 (.111) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The White Sox are 14-8 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .547 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .862 (1,036 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Rays hitters are slugging .514 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Rays hitters are slugging .630 on fastballs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .441.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 44 walks in 889 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 322 walks in 5,557 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have chased 28% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The White Sox are batting just .155 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays pitchers have walked 467 of 6,907 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 97 of 1,684 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .312 against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.65 (234.1 IP) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have allowed a run 53% of the time after an opposing score this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
White Sox vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Hanser Alberto (White Sox): Quad, D10
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Knee, D10
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Yandy DÃaz (Rays): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
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