- The – are favorites vs the –
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Tampa Bay Rays () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Saturday, May 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Rays vs Yankees Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 30-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 20-20 ATS.
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 62.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+16.65 Units / 128% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.85 Units / 80% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+9.80 Units / 82% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games at home (+14.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+13.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 37 games (+10.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Over in his last 8 games (+9.35 Units / 117% ROI)
Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Yandy Diaz | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Shane McClanahan | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 40 games (+16.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+4.25 Units / 11% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 25-15 against the Run Line (+11.3 Units / 24.49% ROI).
- 30-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.35 Units / 23.39% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.05 Units / 6.9% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.35 Units / -16.78% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 20-20 against the Run Line (+0.8 Units / 1.72% ROI).
- 22-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 0.7% ROI
- 17-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -16.57% ROI
- 22-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 7.37% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 38% (123/324) against Shane McClanahan this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (138/374) against Shane McClanahan this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (91/225) against Shane McClanahan in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has 19 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 15% (13/89) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 12% (6/51) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 18% (20/108) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has averaged 77.1 MPH on sliders since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 6-6 (.500) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Rays are 2-9 (.182) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 6-3 (.667) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Rays are 5-2 (.714) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 23-37 (.383) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Yankees are 72-33 (.686) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 26-26 (.500) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .566 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .857 (1,534 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Rays hitters are slugging .510 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Rays hitters are slugging .870 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .585.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 207 walks in 1,926 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .297 (1,073 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Yankees hitters are slugging .422 since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Yankees hitters are slugging .538 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rays pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rays pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Rays pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Oswald Peraza (Yankees): Ankle, D10
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Aaron Hicks (Yankees): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor Strain, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Forearm, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
Bet now on Rays vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
