- The Reds are -155 favorites vs the Athletics
- Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene
- Athletics starting pitcher: Kyle Muller
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Cincinnati Reds (-155) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+130) on Saturday, April 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Reds vs Athletics Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 11-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 10-17 ATS.
Reds vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +105 | O 8 -115 | -155 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -130 | U 8 -105 | +130 |
Reds vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 65.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+12.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+9.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Conner Capel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kevin Smith has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Kevin Smith has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kevin Smith has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 79% ROI)
Athletics vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Athletics vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Athletics vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Conner Capel | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -550 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Athletics vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Muller | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Hunter Greene | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -150 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 17-9 against the Run Line (+7.6 Units / 22.52% ROI).
- 11-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -11.85% ROI
- 14-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 3.74% ROI
- 12-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -12.69% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 10-17 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -30.79% ROI).
- 5-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.2 Units / -48.8% ROI
- 18-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.05 Units / 30.02% ROI
- 8-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.5 Units / -39.18% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has thrown 577 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .483 (29-for-60) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 0 Percentile.
Hunter Greene has thrown 95 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (113/371) against Hunter Greene since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters swung at 61% of Joe Musgrove’s pitches in the zone (870/1,432) in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 40% (793/1,988) against Joe Musgrove in non-two strike counts in 2022 — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 26% (190/739) against Joe Musgrove on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 44% (32/72) against Joe Musgrove on elevated fastballs in 2022 — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 93rd Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Reds are just 20-22 (.476) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Reds are 3-12 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Reds are just 61-6 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Reds are just 2-9 (.182) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Athletics are just 0-1 (.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Athletics are just 1-2 (.333) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Athletics are just 3-7 (.300) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Athletics are just 56-6 (.903) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 10% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .365 against RHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Reds hitters are slugging just .344 on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .162 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .609 (3,372 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (5,066 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .339 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Reds pitchers have walked 151 of 1,655 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Reds pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Reds pitchers have walked 706 of 7,232 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 9.16 (116.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 8.05 (236.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Athletics vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Adrián MartÃnez (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D15
- William Myers (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D10
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