- The Reds are -155 favorites vs the Athletics
- Reds starting pitcher: Nicholas Lodolo
- Athletics starting pitcher: Kenneth Waldichuk
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Cincinnati Reds (-155) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+130) on Sunday, April 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Reds vs Athletics Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 12-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 11-17 ATS.
Reds vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +105 | O 8 +100 | -155 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -130 | U 8 -120 | +130 |
Reds vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 65.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+11.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+9.05 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kevin Smith has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Kevin Smith has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kevin Smith has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 79% ROI)
Athletics vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Athletics vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Athletics vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Athletics vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ken Waldichuk | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Nick Lodolo | 6.5 -160 | 6.5 +125 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 28% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 7 games at home (+0.35 Units / 5% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 17-10 against the Run Line (+6.6 Units / 18.99% ROI).
- 12-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -7.84% ROI
- 14-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 13-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -8.91% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 11-17 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -26.44% ROI).
- 5-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.2 Units / -50.62% ROI
- 18-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 25.64% ROI
- 9-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.5 Units / -34.43% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo has allowed a BABIP of .508 against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed a BABIP of .478 this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .300 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 30% (147/483) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .440 (33-for-75) against Nick Lodolo on pitches in the strike zone this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .288 — first Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ken Waldichuk has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (28 Total Bases / 42 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .377 — third Percentile.
Ken Waldichuk has allowed an OPS of 1.067 (45 PA’s) on non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .656 — second Percentile.
Ken Waldichuk had a first-pitch strike rate of just 38% (9/24) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Ken Waldichuk has allowed a slugging percentage of .635 (66 Total Bases / 104 ABs) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .419 — third Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Reds are 2-14 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .040.
The Reds are just 61-6 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Reds are just 20-22 (.476) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Reds are just 18-28 (.391) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Athletics are just 1-3 (.250) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Athletics are just 3-7 (.300) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Athletics are just 0-2 (.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Athletics are just 2-5 (.286) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 10% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Reds are batting just .306 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .424 (569 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
25% of Reds hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (5,100 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .345 against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .327 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .345 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .312 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .380 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Reds pitchers have walked 711 of 7,271 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Athletics have allowed 8.07 runs per game (226/28) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.56.
Athletics pitchers have walked 143 of 1,170 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.86 (245.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Athletics vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Aledmys DÃaz (Athletics): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Adrián MartÃnez (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Fernando Cruz (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D15
- William Myers (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D10
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