- The Marlins are -140 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft
- Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Pérez
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-140) on Friday, May 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Reds vs Marlins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 16-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 14-24 ATS.
Reds vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -110 | +120 |
| Marlins | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -110 | -140 |
Reds vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 63.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+15.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+12.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+12.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+9.85 Units / 68% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorge Soler has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+8.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- Jean Segura has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.15 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 32 games (+7.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Marlins vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Marlins vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nick Fortes | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Marlins vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Perez | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Graham Ashcraft | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+8.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.40 Units / 101% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+4.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 22-15 against the Run Line (+7.15 Units / 15.75% ROI).
- 16-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -8.62% ROI
- 19-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -1.24% ROI
- 18-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -7.3% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 14-24 against the Run Line (-16.75 Units / -31.69% ROI).
- 19-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 4.09% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -16.87% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 8.12% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Reds are just 20-23 (.465) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Reds are just 4-12 (.250) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Reds are just 21-30 (.412) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
The Reds are just 64-6 (.914) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Marlins are just 10-49 (.169) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Marlins are just 63-16 (.797) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Marlins are just 13-39 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Marlins are just 44-56 (.440) at home since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds have scored first in just 12% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 34% on the road since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .208 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .431 (764 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .629 (1,613 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .344 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .285 (1,613 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Marlins hitters have grounded into 38 double plays in 230 opportunities (17%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .333 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .314 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .371 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Reds pitchers have walked 746 of 7,665 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Marlins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 74% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Marlins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Cooper (Marlins): Ear Infection, D10
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D15
- Jon Chargois (Marlins): Oblique, D15
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Nicholas Enright (Marlins): Illness, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Fernando Cruz (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D10
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