- The Reds are -125 favorites vs the Rockies
- Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene
- Rockies starting pitcher: Connor Seabold
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Cincinnati Reds (-125) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+105) on Monday, May 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Reds vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Reds are 18-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 19-22 ATS.
Reds vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Reds | -1.5 +125 | O 11.5 -120 | -125 |
Rockies | +1.5 -150 | U 11.5 +100 | +105 |
Reds vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 61.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+14.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+14.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+8.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+8.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+9.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.75 Units / 28% ROI)
Rockies vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Jonathan India | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Henry Ramos | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Rockies vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Stephenson | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Jonathan India | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
Henry Ramos | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Rockies vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Jonathan India | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Henry Ramos | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Rockies vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Hunter Greene | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Connor Seabold | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+3.45 Units / 35% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 games (+10.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+8.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.75 Units / 47% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 24-16 against the Run Line (+7.6 Units / 15.31% ROI).
- 18-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -2.75% ROI
- 21-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 1.15% ROI
- 19-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -9.54% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 19-22 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -11.92% ROI).
- 17-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -1.84% ROI
- 16-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.9 Units / -25.9% ROI
- 25-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.85 Units / 17.7% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has thrown 615 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has averaged 98.9 MPH on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 98.9 MPH since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .910 (61 Total Bases / 67 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .575 — first Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Connor Seabold has a strikeout rate of just 31% (17 SO in 55 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .476 (10-for-21) against Connor Seabold when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.
Connor Seabold has located his pitches away 69% of the time (73/105) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Connor Seabold has allowed an OPS of .624 (55 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 14th highest among among 103 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .462 — 13th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Reds are just 21-30 (.412) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .650.
The Reds are just 21-23 (.477) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Reds are 6-18 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .108.
The Reds were just 14-24 (.368) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .664.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rockies are just 28-14 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rockies are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .108.
The Rockies are just 2-5 (.286) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .581.
The Rockies are 15-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .892.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds have scored first in just 12% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Reds are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Reds have not won a game in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 65%.
Reds hitters have 488 strikeouts in 2,001 PA’s (24%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .344 (3,816 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.7 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.3.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .328 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .313 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Reds pitchers have walked 760 of 7,782 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .363 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have walked 44 of 356 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 169 of 1,787 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.38 (910.2 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Rockies pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D15
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, Day-to-Day
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Fernando Cruz (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D15
- Terry Friedl (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
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