Richmond vs Dayton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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Dayton coach Anthony Grant shouts from the sideline during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Lindenwood, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Dayton, Ohio.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 11:53 AM
  • Dayton (13-8) are -8.5 point favorites vs Richmond (11-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The Richmond Spiders (11-10) visit UD Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers (13-8) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Dayton.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Richmond vs. Dayton Over/Under is 128.5 total points.

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Richmond vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Richmond+8.5 -105128.5 -110+340
Dayton -8.5 -115128.5 -110-450

Richmond vs Dayton Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Dayton will win this game with 67.2% confidence.

Richmond vs Dayton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Richmond will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Richmond and Dayton, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Richmond has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Richmond has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 away games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Richmond have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Dayton have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games at home (+10.75 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 48 games (+10.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games (+10.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)

Richmond Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Richmond has gone 9-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -11.03% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has gone 8-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -8.62% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Over for -6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Under for +4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI

Richmond Offensive Stats & Trends:

Richmond has made 49 two point field goals this season — most among Atlantic 10 Teams

Richmond has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (799 assists/ 611 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Richmond has made 8.7 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Richmond has averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (251 turnovers/21 games) this season — 4th best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has made 6.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Dayton has averaged 68.9 points per game (3,857 points/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.2

Dayton has made 6.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Dayton has 586 defensive rebounds this season — 2nd most among Atlantic 10 Teams

Richmond Defensive Stats & Trends:

Richmond has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (562 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Richmond has averaged 6.9 steals per game (403 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Richmond has 403 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd most among Atlantic 10 Teams

Richmond has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (1,385 points/1,208 shots) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has averaged 27.9 defensive rebounds per game (586 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Dayton has averaged 5.3 steals per game (299 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Dayton has averaged 4.9 steals per game (103 steals/21 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Dayton has averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,506 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.