Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions – NBA, Mar. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 07, 2022, 8:55 AM
  • The Heat (38-21) are -14.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (15-43)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Monday, March 7, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & SportsNet SW

The Houston Rockets visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 26-37 against the spread, while the Heat are 38-26 against the spread.

The Rockets vs Heat Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.


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Rockets vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+14.5 -110O 225.5 -110750
Miami Heat -14.5 -110U 225.5 -110-1200

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone:

  • 26-37 against the Spread (-14.7 Units / -20.88% ROI)
  • 16-48 against the Moneyline (-11.65 Units / -17.69% ROI)
  • 35-28 against the Over for game total points (+4.2 Units / 5.96% ROI)
  • 28-35 against the Under for game total points (-10.45 Units / -14.85% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+13.16 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games (+9.51 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games (+5.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 16 of their last 53 games (-24.45 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 58 games (-18.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 55 games (-18.18 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 11 of their last 37 games (-17.60 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 47 games (-16.95 Units / -33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone:

  • 38-26 against the Spread (+9.3 Units / 12.99% ROI)
  • 43-22 against the Moneyline (+20 Units / 13.75% ROI)
  • 38-27 against the Over for game total points (+8.3 Units / 11.61% ROI)
  • 27-38 against the Under for game total points (-14.8 Units / -20.7% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the Moneyline in 36 of their last 53 games (+20.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 39 games (+14.66 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.72 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games (+11.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 60 games (-19.82 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 60 games (-17.70 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 60 games (-17.05 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 47 games (-16.02 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 48 games (-12.95 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Rockets are 11-43 (.200) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Rockets are 8-32 (.200) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .439

The Rockets were 1-15 (.062) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .512

The Rockets were 6-32 (.158) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Heat are 27-10 (.730) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Heat are 19-7 (.731) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Heat are 23-8 (.742) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

The Heat are 12-4 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .524

Injury Report: Heat vs. Rockets - Monday's Game, Mar. 07

  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo is questionable for Monday's (Mar. 7) game against Houston.
  • Markieff Morris (Heat): Morris has not played in a few months an no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Kyle Lowry (Heat): Lowry is out for Monday's (Mar. 7) game against Houston.
  • Caleb Martin (Heat): Martin is questionable for Monday's (Mar. 7) game against Houston.
  • Usman Garuba (Rockets): Garuba will undergo surgery and will miss 6-8 weeks, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN>
  • Dennis Schroder (Rockets): Schroder is out for Sunday's game (Mar. 6) against Memphis.

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (751 turnovers/46 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Rockets have 24.5 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.8

The Rockets have a 29% free throw rate (1,129 free throw attempts/3,941 field goal attempts) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,052 assists/ 751 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (579 rebounds/72 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 9.8

The Heat are shooting 37% from three (605/1,617) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Heat have made 605 three-pointers this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Heat attempted 2,606 threes last season — 10th most among NBA teams

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have blocked 304 shots on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th most among NBA teams

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (217 blocks/61 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (436 blocks/117 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (150 blocks/45 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat averaged 4.0 blocks per game (286 blocks/72 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.