Rockies vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 30

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 30, 2022, 9:47 AM
  • The Braves (79-50) are -375 favorites vs the Rockies (55-74)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: José Ureña (2-5), 5.98 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried (12-4), 2.52 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSO

The Colorado Rockies (+290) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-375) on Tuesday, August 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Rockies vs Braves Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 54-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 66-60 ATS.

Rockies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+2.5 -105O 8.5 -115+290
Braves -2.5 -115U 8.5 -105-375

Rockies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 61.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.15 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 27 away games (+8.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+8.55 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Elehuris Montero has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 58 of his last 79 games (+19.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 68 of his last 117 games (+18.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+16.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 43 games at home (+14.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+11.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+6.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 67 of their last 103 games (+25.52 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games (+6.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 67-59 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 0.97% ROI).

  • 54-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -2.92% ROI
  • 60-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -3.91% ROI
  • 59-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.35 Units / -5.31% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 66-60 against the Run Line (-1.15 Units / -0.72% ROI).

  • 77-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 4.51% ROI
  • 64-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 3.11% ROI
  • 54-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.25 Units / -11.78% ROI

Jose Urena has allowed an OBP of .447 (309 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: .324 — 0 Percentile.

Jose Urena has allowed an OPS of .928 (371 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .693 — second Percentile.

Jose Urena has struck out just 9% (37/406) of left-handed batters he faced since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .350 (79-for-226) against Jose Urena versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .259 — first Percentile.

Max Fried: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .204 (23 Total Bases / 113 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (158 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

Max Fried has not allowed a runner to reach base (19 PA’s) versus the top of the order — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .301 — 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .191 (54 Total Bases / 283 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — 90th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Rockies are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 12-31 (.279) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 19-42 (.311) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Rockies are just 12-35 (.255) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Braves are 70-14 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Braves are 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 55-8 (.873) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Rockies are batting .286 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Rockies are batting .312 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rockies have won just 40% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .367 (1,341 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Braves hitters are slugging .664 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .553.

Braves hitters have an OBP of .344 (1,295 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .801 (1,295 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

The Braves are batting .270 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.6

Rockies pitchers have walked 225 of 2,542 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (122.4 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.1).

Braves vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Orlando Arcia (Braves): Hamstring, D10
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Jackson Stephens (Braves): Concussion, D7
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Chadwick Tromp (Braves): Quad, D10
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, D10
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.