- The Cubs are -150 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Germán Márquez, 0.00 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele, 0.00 ERA
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Colorado Rockies (+125) visit Sloan Park to take on the Chicago Cubs (-150) on Tuesday, March 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in Mesa.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Rockies vs Cubs Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Rockies are 3-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 8-4 ATS.
Rockies vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -145 | O 11.5 -110 | +125 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +120 | U 11.5 -110 | -150 |
Rockies vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 63.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Sean Bouchard has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.80 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Frank Schwindel has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nelson Velazquez has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 109 games (+13.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 away games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 49% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 85 games (+19.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+17.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 108 games (+16.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+16.35 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -16.94% ROI).
- 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -39.11% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -38.27% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 31.54% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 8-4 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 27.76% ROI).
- 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 30.87% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -32.62% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 24.83% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
German Marquez allowed a slugging percentage of .469 (330 Total Bases / 704 ABs) last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — second Percentile.
German Marquez allowed a slugging percentage of .586 (99 Total Bases / 169 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — second Percentile.
German Marquez allowed an OPS of .793 (779 PA’s) last season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .664 — eighth Percentile.
102 of German Marquez’s 150 strikeouts (68%) came on curveballs last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 34% (26/77) versus Justin Steele with runners in scoring position last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (52/100) against Justin Steele on elevated fastballs since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Justin Steele threw fastballs 71% of the time (1,018/1,433) in non-two strike counts last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 99th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 71% of the time (1,513/2,136) in non-two strike counts since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Rockies are just 15-33 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 27-54 (.333) on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Rockies are 13-73 (.151) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Rockies are 53-4 (.930) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Cubs are just 37-44 (.457) at home last season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Cubs are just 19-106 (.152) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Cubs are just 9-41 (.180) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Cubs are just 6-64 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
Rockies hitters are slugging just .344 on the road since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .306 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs batted .371 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Cubs are batting just .153 with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Cubs hitters slugged just .185 in lefty-lefty matchups last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 54 double plays in 386 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 5.30 (740.0 IP) at home last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.
Rockies pitchers threw at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 247 of 2,831 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 1,137 of 12,365 batters (9%) since the start of the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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