- The Mets are -275 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga
- Watch the game on SNY
The Colorado Rockies (+220) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-275) on Friday, May 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Rockies vs Mets Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 12-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 15-17 ATS.
Rockies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +110 | O 8 -105 | +220 |
| Mets | -1.5 -135 | U 8 -115 | -275 |
Rockies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+8.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 12 away games (+6.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+6.30 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- Eduardo Escobar has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 55% ROI)
Mets vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Mets vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Starling Marte | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Mets vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Mets vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 56% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 12 games at home (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 13-19 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -21.24% ROI).
- 12-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -12.9% ROI
- 14-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -17.02% ROI
- 18-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 8.51% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 15-17 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -5.63% ROI).
- 16-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -14.79% ROI
- 14-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -13.58% ROI
- 17-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 4.56% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .349 (133-for-381) against Antonio Senzatela since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 40% (37/93) against Antonio Senzatela on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 12% (23/198) against Antonio Senzatela when he’s behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (38/113) against Antonio Senzatela on breaking pitches since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kodai Senga has walked 10 of 45 batters (22%) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Kodai Senga has allowed at least 3 walks in each of his last five games — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Kodai Senga has walked 6 of 27 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Kodai Senga has walked 18 of 117 batters (15%) this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Rockies are just 50-27 (.649) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Rockies are just 10-20 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 58-119 (.328) on the road since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .465.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets are 104-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Mets are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .110.
The Mets are 104-4 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .911.
The Mets are just 2-13 (.133) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .284 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have won just 42% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .346 (3,712 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .336 (5,036 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Mets hitters have just 991 strikeouts in 5,036 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mets are batting .260 on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Mets have scored first in 68% of their home games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 32 of 277 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have walked 112 of 1,725 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Left Ankle, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Brooks Raley (Mets): Elbow, D15
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back Spasms, D10
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Elbow, D15
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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