- The Mets are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner
- Mets starting pitcher: Joseph Lucchesi
- Watch the game on SNY
The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-200) on Sunday, May 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Rockies vs Mets Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 13-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 15-19 ATS.
Rockies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -120 | O + | +165 |
| Mets | -1.5 +100 | U + | -200 |
Rockies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+7.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+7.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Eduardo Escobar has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
Mets vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Peter Alonso | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Mets vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Mets vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Feltner | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Joey Lucchesi | 3.5 -200 | 3.5 +150 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+7.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.15 Units / 38% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 15-19 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -14.85% ROI).
- 13-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -9.86% ROI
- 14-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -22.12% ROI
- 20-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.95 Units / 13.49% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 15-19 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -10.86% ROI).
- 17-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -15.84% ROI
- 14-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -18.97% ROI
- 19-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 9.7% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Feltner has allowed a slugging percentage of .881 (52 Total Bases / 59 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .577 — second Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has walked 7 of 36 batters (19%) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has walked 1 of 44 batters (2%) — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .214 (55-for-257) against Ryan Feltner with two-strikes since last season — tied for 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .169 — seventh Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Lucchesi has located his fastball away 71% of the time (88/123) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (16/104) against Joey Lucchesi this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Joey Lucchesi has an average fastball velocity of just 89.6 MPH this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — sixth Percentile.
Joey Lucchesi has induced opposing hitters to ground into 3 double plays in 13 opportunities (23%) this season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 95th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are just 27-13 (.675) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Rockies are just 40-36 (.526) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rockies are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Rockies are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets are 105-4 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Mets are just 3-10 (.231) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Mets are 105-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Mets are 17-1 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .284 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.1 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.2.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .620 (3,662 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .260 on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Mets hitters have just 485 strikeouts in 2,415 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .335 (5,070 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .332 (3,954 PA’s) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.42 (884.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Rockies pitchers have walked 158 of 1,725 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have walked 128 of 1,258 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have walked 115 of 1,743 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Left Ankle, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Brooks Raley (Mets): Elbow, D15
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back Spasms, D10
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Elbow, D15
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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