- The – are favorites vs the –
- Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela
- Pirates starting pitcher: Richard Hill
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The Colorado Rockies () visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates () on Wednesday, May 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Rockies vs Pirates Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 15-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 21-16 ATS.
Rockies vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | O | ||
| Pirates | U |
Rockies vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+9.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+7.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+7.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.35 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.30 Units / 91% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
Pirates vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
Pirates vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
Pirates vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
Pirates vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Antonio Senzatela | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
| Rich Hill | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+10.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.90 Units / 45% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in their last 9 games (+9.10 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.45 Units / 11% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 17-20 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -12.09% ROI).
- 15-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -3.54% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.5 Units / -18.05% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 9.64% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 21-16 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 6.01% ROI).
- 21-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.1 Units / 19.08% ROI
- 18-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -1.23% ROI
- 17-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -6.02% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .342 (136-for-398) against Antonio Senzatela since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 39% (31/80) against Antonio Senzatela on low breaking pitches since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (39/117) against Antonio Senzatela on breaking pitches since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Antonio Senzatela has a strikeout rate of just 13% (57 SO in 431 PAs) since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .125 (2-for-16) against Rich Hill on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .354 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (40/120) against Rich Hill this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
28 of Rich Hill’s 87 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 98th Percentile.
Rich Hill has allowed a slugging percentage of .731 (19 Total Bases / 26 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .373 — first Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rockies are just 41-36 (.532) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rockies are just 28-13 (.683) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Rockies are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rockies are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .112.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Pirates are 13-0 (1.000) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Pirates are just 4-92 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Pirates are just 17-59 (.224) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Pirates are just 44-54 (.449) at home since last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .284 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have won just 44% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .346 (3,712 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.9 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.2.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .148 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .293 (2,271 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Pirates are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.
The Pirates are batting just .216 with two outs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 39 of 320 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.42 (884.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 714 of 7,639 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 2.58 (97.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chase De Jong (Pirates): Knee, D15
- Robert Zastryzny (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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