- The Rangers are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Colorado Rockies (+155) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-190) on Saturday, May 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Rockies vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 19-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 28-16 ATS.
Rockies vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -120 | O 8.5 -110 | +155 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -110 | -190 |
Rockies vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 80.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+8.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 36 games (+6.65 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+16.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 37 games (+15.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+13.60 Units / 39% ROI)
Rangers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Rangers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rangers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Rangers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Jon Gray | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 26 games (+10.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 26 games (+9.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 36 games (+20.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+18.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 36 games (+17.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 36 games (+14.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.45 Units / 23% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 21-24 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -9.96% ROI).
- 19-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -2.29% ROI
- 18-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -23.96% ROI
- 27-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.65 Units / 15.68% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 28-16 against the Run Line (+10.55 Units / 18.35% ROI).
- 27-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 13.41% ROI
- 26-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.25 Units / 14.93% ROI
- 17-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.55 Units / -23.86% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .259 against Kyle Freeland on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th best among qualified SPs– 87th Percentile. Opponents batted .438 (49-for-112) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — second worst among qualified SPs– fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (65/357) against Kyle Freeland this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has thrown elevated sliders37% of the time (60/164) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (45/272) against Kyle Freeland this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jon Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .704 (19 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — fifth Percentile.
Jon Gray has a strikeout rate of just 20% (12 SO in 59 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .130 (3-for-23) against Jon Gray on low fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 92nd Percentile.
Jon Gray has a strikeout rate of just 34% (32 SO in 95 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 11th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Rockies are 17-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Rockies are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Rockies are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Rockies are just 4-8 (.333) after a road loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .458.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Rangers are 7-3 (.700) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
The Rangers are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Rangers are just 40-35 (.533) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .701.
The Rangers are just 20-24 (.455) after a win as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .599.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies have won just 48% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting .332 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Rangers hitters are slugging .446 against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Rangers hitters have a groundball batting average of .294 with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Rangers hitters have grounded into 105 double plays in 1,403 opportunities (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have walked 49 of 391 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 17 of 106 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 174 of 1,834 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Rangers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 122 of 1,610 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): oblique, D15
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D15
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Rockies vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
