Royals vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 3

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 03, 2022, 9:24 AM
  • The Royals (53-80) are -110 favorites vs the Tigers (51-81)
  • Royals starting pitcher: Jonathan Heasley (2-7), 5.22 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Michael Pineda (2-6), 5.27 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSDET

The Kansas City Royals (-110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-110) on Saturday, September 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The Royals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Royals vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Royals are 53-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 58-71 ATS.

Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals-1.5 +150O 8.5 -115-110
Tigers +1.5 -185U 8.5 -105-110

Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 57.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Tigers vs Royals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 18 away games (+15.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+13.05 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+12.70 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 40 away games (+11.45 Units / 20% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+8.65 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 79 games (+15.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 40 games (+5.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 31 away games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+12.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+5.15 Units / 36% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 61-68 against the Run Line (-19.05 Units / -11.31% ROI).

  • 53-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.4 Units / -8.26% ROI
  • 65-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -1.4% ROI
  • 61-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -7.64% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 58-71 against the Run Line (-23.35 Units / -14.36% ROI).

  • 49-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -16 Units / -11.7% ROI
  • 47-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.4 Units / -21.95% ROI
  • 72-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.95 Units / 14.59% ROI

Jon Heasley has walked 23 of 160 left-handed batters (14%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Jon Heasley has allowed an OPS of 1.121 (125 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .742 — 0 Percentile.

Jon Heasley has walked 12 of 72 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.

Jon Heasley has a strike rate of just 57% (179/316) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Michael Pineda: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Pineda has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.6 MPH on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season (393 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 90.7

Michael Pineda has located his breaking pitches down 85% of the time (530/626) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 99th Percentile.

Michael Pineda has allowed a slugging percentage of .523 (145 Total Bases / 277 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: .388 — fourth Percentile.

Michael Pineda has allowed a slugging percentage of .481 (290 Total Bases / 603 ABs) since the start of last season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: .401 — fifth Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Royals are just 4-34 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

The Royals are just 21-43 (.328) on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Royals are just 53-68 (.438) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Royals are just 5-72 (.065) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Tigers are 8-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The Tigers are just 35-7 (.833) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Tigers are just 50-73 (.407) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Tigers are just 6-64 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Royals hitters have just 587 strikeouts in 2,993 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .985 (2,095 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.

Royals hitters have just 259 strikeouts in 1,300 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters are averaging just 3.79 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,504 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .594 (3,504 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .319 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Tigers hitters have 489 strikeouts in 1,664 PA’s (29%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Royals pitchers have walked 501 of 5,154 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have walked 106 of 1,168 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Royals have won just 7% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 13 of 98 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Schoop (Tigers): Ankle, D10
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D10
  • Eric Haase (Tigers): Abdominal, Day-to-Day
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Bicep, D15
  • Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Salvador Perez (Royals): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
  • Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D10
  • Donald Greinke (Royals): Forearm, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.