- The White Sox are -175 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Carlos Hernández
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Kansas City Royals (+145) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-175) on Sunday, May 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Royals vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 14-33 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 23-24 ATS.
Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -135 | O 9 -115 | +145 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +110 | U 9 -105 | -175 |
Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tim Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+9.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+9.40 Units / 23% ROI)
White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -450 |
White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -155 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+2.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+2.15 Units / 16% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+7.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 18-29 against the Run Line (-15.8 Units / -27.29% ROI).
- 14-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.1 Units / -29.13% ROI
- 21-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -10.7% ROI
- 24-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 1.55% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 23-24 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -5.08% ROI).
- 18-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -22.55% ROI
- 22-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -1.36% ROI
- 21-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -5.87% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brad Keller has walked 40 of 201 batters (20%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has walked 19 of 95 right-handed batters (20%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has a strike rate of just 55% (461/832) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has a strike rate of just 55% (208/382) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn allowed a batting average of just .120 vs right-handed batters (sixth best)– 92nd Percentile and .500 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (worst among qualified SPs)– first Percentile.
Lance Lynn allowed a batting average of just .177 vs right-handed batters (tied for seventh best)– 92nd Percentile and .368 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (second worst among qualified SPs)– third Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .500 (13-for-26) against Lance Lynn — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .248 — first Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .663 (63 Total Bases / 95 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .405 — first Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 5-57 (.081) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Royals are just 3-6 (.333) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .679.
The Royals are just 14-29 (.326) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Royals are just 10-13 (.435) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are just 0-6 (.000) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The White Sox are just 3-12 (.200) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The White Sox are just 14-5 (.737) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 11-55 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (1,314 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .293 (1,730 PA’s) this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have 126 extra-base hits out of 397 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 92 walks in 1,423 PA’s (7%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .577 (539 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
White Sox hitters have drawn 49 walks in 984 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have allowed a run 45% of the time after an opposing score this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Royals have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Royals have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The White Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 78% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .290 against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
White Sox pitchers have walked 178 of 1,836 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Billy Hamilton (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Wrist, D15
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Appendix, D10
- Elvis Andrus (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Lopez (Royals): Appendicitis, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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