- The Saints are -3.5 point favorites vs the Chargers
- Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
- Watch the game on NFL Network
The New Orleans Saints visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers on Aug. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Inglewood.
The Saints are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Saints vs. Chargers Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.
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Saints vs. Chargers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Saints | -3.5 -110 | 37.5 -105 | -160 |
| Chargers | +3.5 -110 | 37.5 -115 | +135 |
Saints vs. Chargers Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this preseason game with 61.7% confidence.
Saints vs Chargers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Saints will cover the spread with 54.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Saints and Chargers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jarvis Landry has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.15 Units / 60% ROI)
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jarvis Landry has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 52% ROI)
Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 77% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Saints Best Bets:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+2.10 Units / 23% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+10.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have scored last in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Saints went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Saints are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 80% ROI
- Saints are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Saints are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / ROI
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Chargers went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Chargers are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 120% ROI
- Chargers are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Chargers are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Saints were 5-10 (.333) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .415.
The Saints were 4-1 (.800) when playing in cold weather in the 2022 season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Saints were 2-5 (.286) after a win in the 2022 season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .532.
The Saints were 7-4 (.636) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2022 season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .494.
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Chargers were 6-2 (.750) when not throwing an interception last season — tied for eighth-best in NFL. The Saints intercepted 7 passes last season — third-fewest in NFL.
The Chargers were 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 run offenses in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Chargers were 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .567.
The Chargers were 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .518.
Additional Matchup Notes for New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers had a third down conversion rate of 46.6% in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-best in NFL. The Saints defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 45.8% in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-worst in NFL.
Chargers RBs averaged 2.3 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Saints allowed 2.5 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.
Chargers RBs averaged 2.3 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Saints allowed 2.7 yards after contact per carry to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.
The Saints scored on 23.8% of their drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-worst in NFL. The Chargers defense allowed scores on 22.7% of opponent drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-best in NFL.
The Saints scored on 14.3% of their drives in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-worst in NFL. The Chargers defense allowed scores on 13% of opponent drives in the second half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.
Saints RBs averaged 2.4 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-best in NFL. The Chargers allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for second-worst in NFL.
New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats
The Saints did not record a TD in 14 drives in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Saints converted first downs on just 4 of 40 plays (10%) on plays up the middle in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Saints threw the ball 31% of the time (54 Pass Attempts/176 plays) on Early Downs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Saints did not score on any drive in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers threw the ball 62% of the time (710 Pass Attempts/1,152 plays) in the 2022 season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Chargers have an average drive start position from the 30.1 yard line in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 25.7.
The Chargers averaged 11.5 drives per TD in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.
The Chargers converted first downs on just 28 of 58 plays (48%) on second and 1-3 yards to go in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.
New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats
The Saints defense allowed first downs on 58% of rush attempts on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Saints defense allowed an average of 2.2 yards after contact per carry (480 carries) in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.7.
The Saints defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 14% (1 completions/7 attempts) in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 58%.
The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 24% of pass attempts in the 1st half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers defense allowed an average of 2.5 yards after contact per carry (386 carries) to RBs in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
The Chargers defense allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (447 carries) in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.7.
The Chargers defense allowed first downs on 12% of pass attempts on 3rd down in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Chargers defense has allowed an average of 2.4 yards after contact per carry (823 carries) to RBs since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.
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