You don’t need to look far for a game with more significant wild card implications than the Saints at Eagles in Week 11. Both teams are in the hunt, and NFL betting lines for this matchup couldn’t be tighter. Yet with a closer look, there may be a unique opportunity in this game.
So let’s dig into the money line for Saints vs. Eagles and see which team has a better chance of winning outright in Week 11.
Last week at Mile High Stadium, few expected such a dominant performance. The Philadelphia Eagles took control early and ran over a stunned Broncos team. All aspects were working as the Eagles’ defense held Denver to 309 yards.
On offense, Jalen Hurts did everything asked of him during the team’s 30-13 win. Hurts threw two touchdowns despite only totaling 178 yards. Between Hurts, Jordan Howard, and Boston Scott, the Eagles also had over 200 rushing yards.
The Eagles have been showing signs they are better than their record indicates. This win came on the heels of a close battle with another AFC West contender, the LA Chargers. Incredibly, at 4-5, Philadelphia is still contending for a playoff spot, and their remaining schedule looks favorable.
With New Orleans in Week 11, the Eagles’ 2nd ranked rushing offense will get tested. Jalen Hurts has controlled the ball, throwing 13 TDs and only 5 INTs this season. However, it may be time for Nick Sirianni to let Jalen air it out to DeVanta Smith a little more often.
New Orleans Saints
Another near miss from the New Orleans Saints cost them a chance to go 6-3 into Week 11 against the Eagles. Instead, a costly kick return fumble was too much to overcome against an AFC title contender. Now, the Saints will have to regroup going into Philadelphia on Sunday.
New Orleans has shown they are never out of a game. After coming close to beating Atlanta with a late-game surge, they did the same against the Titans. Mark Ingram II had a 128-yard performance in the 23-21 loss.
But falling behind early in games has cost the Saints two wins in a row. Trevor Siemian had a decent day, throwing for two touchdowns on 298 yards. With an improved passing attack and superior run defense, the Saints look like a team that’s poised for a late-season surge.
The biggest hurdle might be their 26th ranked pass defense. The secondary isn’t only to blame, though, for putting the Saints down early. In addition, crucial penalties and lost balls need immediate addressing.
Saints at Eagles (-1.5)
Oddsmakers have this matchup between the Saints at the Eagles as an almost pick ’em game. Yet with a 5-4 record, the Saints are closer to a playoff spot. And if New Orleans can get an early lead, they will be dangerous.
The Saints have beaten or stayed close with several teams that have winning records. Sean Payton needs to plug the leaks now, but the second half of their schedule is more demanding than the first.
The Philadelphia Eagles have momentum on their side. But so far this year, the Eagles are winless at home. Look for them to establish their running game early in Week 11 against the Saints.
The Money Line
The New Orleans Saints are a slight underdog, with a +100 money line. As home favorites, the Philadelphia Eagles are -115 money line favorites. If the New Orleans Saints can keep from getting behind again, they have an excellent chance to win this game.
The Saints’ defense should control the line of scrimmage against Philadelphia this week. I’m betting on Philadelphia to lose their fifth home game. So I’m taking the +100 money line for the Saints at Eagles.
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