Sam Houston State vs Tarleton State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 18, 2023, 1:45 PM
  • Sam Houston State (19-6) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Tarleton State (14-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 125.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Sam Houston State Bearkats (19-6) visit Wisdom Gym to take on the Tarleton State Texans (14-13) on Feb. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Stephenville.

Sam Houston State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Sam Houston State vs. Tarleton State Over/Under is 125.5 total points.

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Sam Houston State vs. Tarleton State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Sam Houston State-2.5 -115O 125.5 -105-155
Tarleton State +2.5 -105U 125.5 -115+130

Sam Houston State vs Tarleton State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Sam Houston State will win this game with 56.2% confidence.

Sam Houston State vs Tarleton State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tarleton State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Sam Houston State and Tarleton State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Sam Houston State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+18.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games (+17.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 22 games (+2.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 34 games (+15.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+3.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)

Sam Houston State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sam Houston State has gone 11-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 15-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.5 Units / 26.6% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has gone 12-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.15 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -12.14% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Sam Houston State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sam Houston State has 15.2 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 20.1

Sam Houston State has 15.2 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 20.1

Sam Houston State is shooting 63% from the free throw line (527/834) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 70%

Sam Houston State has a TS% of 51% this season — best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 47%

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has made 4.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has made 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has a TS% of 45% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 47%

Tarleton State has averaged 11.4 turnovers per game (606 turnovers/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 13.1

Sam Houston State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sam Houston State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (454 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Sam Houston State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (202 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Sam Houston State has 202 steals this season — 4th most among WAC Teams

Sam Houston State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (454 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 20.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,062 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Tarleton State has averaged 21.0 defensive rebounds per game (461 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tarleton State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (203 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Tarleton State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (440 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.