Samford vs Mercer Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 08, 2023, 12:19 PM
  • Samford (16-9) are -4.5 point favorites vs Mercer (12-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Samford Bulldogs (16-9) visit Hawkins Arena to take on the Mercer Bears (12-13) on Feb. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Macon.

Samford is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Samford vs. Mercer Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Samford vs. Mercer Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Samford-4.5 -115O 137.5 -105-225
Mercer +4.5 -105U 137.5 -115+180

Samford vs Mercer Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Samford will win this game with 58.2% confidence.

Samford vs Mercer Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Samford will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Samford and Mercer, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Samford has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 48 games (+19.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Samford have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Samford have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 47 games (+4.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.25 Units / 25% ROI)

Samford Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Samford has gone 11-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -3.2% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI

Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mercer has gone 10-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.3 Units / -17% ROI).

  • 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -12.29% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Over for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Under for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI

Samford Offensive Stats & Trends:

Samford has a 39% free throw rate (546 free throw attempts/1,390 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 31%

Samford has 736 turnovers since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Southern Teams

Samford has 22.8 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 17.8

Samford has 22.8 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer is shooting 45% (624/1,376) this season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 45%

Mercer is shooting 34% from three (136/403) this season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 34%

Mercer has averaged 10.7 turnovers per game (257 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Mercer has averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (457 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.4

Samford Defensive Stats & Trends:

Samford has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/24 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Samford has 174 steals this season — 2nd most among Southern Teams

Samford has averaged 24.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,355 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Samford has averaged 7.2 steals per game (174 steals/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 22.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,304 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Mercer has allowed 7.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 8.2

Mercer has allowed 68.3 points per game (1,639 points/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 70.1

Mercer has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (618 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.