San Diego State vs Fresno State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 15, 2023, 12:02 PM
  • San Diego State (20-5) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Fresno State (9-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The San Diego State Aztecs (20-5) visit Save Mart Center to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs (9-15) on Feb. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Fresno.

San Diego State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The San Diego State vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 128.5 total points.

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San Diego State vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Diego State-8.5 -105O 128.5 -110-375
Fresno State +8.5 -115U 128.5 -110+280

San Diego State vs Fresno State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this game with 66.7% confidence.

San Diego State vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego State and Fresno State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games (+18.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 48 games (+11.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • San Diego State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.50 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+3.65 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Fresno State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)

San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Diego State has gone 12-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 18-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.15 Units / 9.7% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Under for -5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has gone 8-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-8.45 Units / -33.47% ROI).

  • 8-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -17.96% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Over for -4.3 Units / -17% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 7.91% ROI

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State is shooting 42% from three (78/185) in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 36%

San Diego State is shooting 29% from three (26/88) in possessions with at least three passes this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

San Diego State has averaged 31.8 points per game (414 points/13 games) in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34.7

San Diego State has a TS% of 55% in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — tied for 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State is shooting 28% from three (127/446) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Fresno State has averaged 1.14 points per shot (1,273 points/1,112 shots) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.30

Fresno State is shooting 36% (103/288) in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Fresno State is shooting 32% from three (377/1,188) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (3,320 points/2,915 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (1,176/2,915) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (156/507) this season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (349/1,153) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed 61.2 points per game (3,490 points/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.8

Fresno State has averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (478 rebounds/21 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.7

Fresno State has allowed 7.6 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (475/1,099) this season — tied for 3rd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.