Saudi Arabia vs. Mexico Predictions, Odds, & Picks: World Cup 2022

min read
A Saudi Arabia fan holds up a copy of the World Cup trophy prior of the World Cup group C soccer match between Poland and Saudi Arabia, at the Education City Stadium in Al Rayyan , Qatar, Saturday, Nov. 26, 2022.
AP Photo/Francisco Seco
Laura Paterson @ Nov 29, 2022, 9:50 AM
  • Mexico and Saudi Arabia both need to win this Group C game.
  • Both teams also need Argentina to lose against Mexico.
  • I see Saudi Arabia going against the odds and getting a win.

As things stand, all four teams in Group C have a chance of advancing to the 2022 FIFA World Cup Round of 16.

While Saudi Arabia can advance with a win or a draw (if Argentina loses to Poland), Mexico has to win this game to advance and also need Argentina to lose.

Mexico is facing elimination at the Group Stage for the first time in 44 years, while Saudi Arabia is on the cusp of advancing for only the second time in its history. 

Which of these two teams will qualify? Or will both of them be on a plane home?

Saudi Arabia vs. Mexico Prediction, World Cup:

The winning team model predicts Mexico will win this Group C game with 40% confidence. The model also predicts a 27% chance of a tie/draw.

» Get Win Predictions for Every World Cup Game

Saudi Arabia vs. Mexico Odds, Outrights, Over/Under

  • Match Result: Saudi Arabia (+360) | Draw (+310) | Mexico (-145)
  • Draw No Bet: Saudi Arabia (+240) | Mexico (-350)
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (-145) | Under 2.5 (+100)

Saudi Arabia vs. Mexico Match Info

2022 World Cup — Group Stage (C)

Date: Wednesday, November 30

Time: 2:00 PM ET

Venue: Lusail Stadium

Coverage: FOX, Telemundo

Saudi Arabia vs. Mexico Analysis

Saudi Arabia stunned the world with its historic win over Argentina in its opening match. Coach Herve Renard’s halftime talk went viral, and it’s easy to see why these players left everything out on the pitch with that kind of motivation.

They lost to Poland 2-0 in their second game, but Robert Lewandowski and Co’s scoreline was a bit flattering. In fact, Saudi Arabia had a penalty kick saved, two magnificent stops from Poland’s keeper Wojciech Szczęsny, and a couple of shots hit the posts.

It’s safe to say most of the support in the stadium on Wednesday will be for The Falcons, which should spur this team on even more. Saudi Arabia won’t settle. They need a win, and Renard’s team will push for that.

Mexico always reaches the Round of 16. But, it’s inconceivable  El Tri could be eliminated in the Group Stage for the first time in 44 years. That’s how things in Group C stand and nothing but a win will help Mexico here. 

In fact, their fate is not in their hands entirely, as they need to win by a humongous goal difference, or they also need Argentina to lose against Poland.

Tata Martino’s side has been below par the entire tournament, and they’ve yet to deliver the attacking soccer they are capable of. They drew 0-0 with Poland, thanks to a saved Lewandowski penalty, and they were easily beaten 2-0 by Argentina. 

Mexico hasn’t won a World Cup game in the last four attempts, and the team hasn’t scored a single goal in them, either. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia has only kept one clean sheet in 18 World Cup matches, so if Mexico is going to score a goal, this is likely to be the game they do it in.

Both teams need to win this game, and I think this could make for an open, end-to-end contest that will be thrilling to watch. 

All the odds point to a Mexico victory, but I can’t help but feel that between  Renard’s infectious motivation and the crowd of supporters, Saudi has the edge here. So, I’m going with Saudi Arabia to take all three points.

Saudi Arabia vs. Mexico Game Result Odds

  • Match Result: Saudi Arabia (+360) 
  • Draw No Bet: Saudi Arabia (+240)
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (-145)
  • Saudi Arabia to Win and Both Teams to Score: (+675)

Soccer Odds at BetMGM

With around-the-clock matches throughout the year, there’s never a break in soccer betting action at BetMGM.

You can view updated soccer odds for the Champions League, MLS, World Cup, and other leagues and events around the world. Visit the sportsbook today to place your bet online!

Actor Jamie Foxx on the Welcome Offer BetMGM's banner.
About the Author

Laura Paterson

Read More @

Laura is a dedicated in-house writer for The Media Image. An avid sports fan and field hockey player, she gets her fix through writing on a variety of sports for BetMGM.

Laura is a dedicated in-house writer for The Media Image. An avid sports fan and field hockey player, she gets her fix through writing on a variety of sports for BetMGM.