Seahawks vs Packers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL Preseason

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(AP Photo/Jeffrey Phelps)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 23, 2023, 2:19 PM
  • The Packers are -1.5 point favorites vs the Seahawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points

The Seattle Seahawks visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers on Aug. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Green Bay.

The Packers are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Seahawks vs. Packers Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.

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Seahawks vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Seahawks+1.5 -11540.5 -110-105
Packers -1.5 -10540.5 -110-115

Seahawks vs. Packers Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Packers will win this preseason game with 62.5% confidence.

Seahawks vs Packers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 64.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Seahawks and Packers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Geno Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Will Dissly has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Geno Smith has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 51% ROI)

Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Watson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • A.J. Dillon has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • A.J. Dillon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • A.J. Dillon has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.50 Units / 40% ROI)

Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Seahawks went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Seahawks are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 58.82% ROI
  • Seahawks are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Seahawks are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / ROI

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Packers went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Packers are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 50% ROI
  • Packers are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Packers are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Seahawks were 5-1 (.833) vs bottom 10 run offenses in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .538.

The Seahawks were 3-1 (.750) vs bottom 10 run defenses in the 2022 season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .535.

The Seahawks were 8-4 (.667) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2022 season — tied for 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .575.

The Seahawks were 2-4 (.333) vs top 10 defenses in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .462.

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks

The Packers are 5-1 (.833) when playing in warm weather since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .494.

The Packers were 4-2 (.667) vs bottom 10 run offenses in the 2022 season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .538.

The Packers are winless (0-3) after a home loss since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .456.

The Packers were 3-8 (.273) when not forcing a fumble in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.

Additional Matchup Notes for Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers

Packers RBs averaged 2.3 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Seahawks allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for second-worst in NFL.

Packers RBs averaged 113.5 rushing yards per game last season — fourth-best in NFL. The Seahawks allowed an average of 151.1 rushing yards per game last season — third-worst in NFL.

Packers RBs averaged 2.3 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Seahawks allowed 2.4 yards after contact per carry to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks threw for 7.7 yards per attempt on Early Downs last season — fifth-best in NFL. The Packers allowed 7.6 yards per dropback on early downs last season — tied for second-worst in NFL.

The Seahawks threw for 8.2 yards per attempt on 1st Down last season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Packers allowed 8.3 yards per dropback on first down last season — second-worst in NFL.

Seahawks TEs averaged just 3.1 yards after the catch in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — second-worst in NFL. The Packers allowed just 3.0 yards after catch per reception to TEs in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.

Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats

The Seahawks have scored 12 TDs from their own territory since the 2021 season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Seahawks ran successful plays on 35% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Seahawks had 17 TDs that were 20+ yards in the 2022 season — tied for 2nd-most in NFL.

The Seahawks have 34 TDs that were 20+ yards since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats

The Packers have been flagged 61 times on offense since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

The Packers went three and out on 5% of their drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Packers have averaged just 14.5 offensive penalty yards per game (494/34) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20.1.

The Packers went three and out on 16% of their drives in the 2022 season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats

The Seahawks defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 0% (0 completions/21 attempts) when they pressured the QB in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Offenses facing the Seahawks targeted WRs 39% of the time (24 Pass Attempts/62 plays) in the red zone in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Seahawks defense allowed 6.1 yards after the catch (2,101 RAC / 343 receptions) in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.1.

The Seahawks defense has allowed 6.0 yards after the catch (4,686 RAC / 786 receptions) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats

The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 51% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Packers defense allowed first downs on just 29% of plays on 3rd and short in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

The Packers defense allowed passes of 40+ yards on 14 of 477 attempts (3%) in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1%.

The Packers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 29% on 3rd and short in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.