Despite 94% of Handle on Georgia (-6.5) vs. Alabama, Spread Isn’t Moving

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Georgia SEC Championship
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Andrew Doughty @DoughtyBetMGM Dec 03, 2021, 11:34 AM

Georgia will reach 13-0 for the first in program history with a win over Alabama in the SEC Championship, bettors at the BetMGM sportsbook are overwhelmingly predicting.

Prior to their win over Georgia Tech – and Alabama’s win over Auburn – in Week 13, the Bulldogs opened as a 4-point favorite over the Crimson Tide. After Week 13, Georgia moved to -6.5, which all but guaranteed the Tide will close as an underdog for the first time since 2015 and just the second time in the last 12 seasons.

Seven of their nine games as a dog under Nick Saban came in 2007 and 2008, Saban’s first two seasons as head coach:

 

DateOpponentSpreadFinal Score
Dec. 3, 2015at Georgia+1.5Alabama 38-10
Dec. 5, 2009vs. Florida*+4.5Alabama 32-13
Dec. 6, 2008vs. Florida*+10Florida 31-20
Sept. 27, 2008at Georgia+6.5Alabama 41-30
Aug. 30, 2008at Clemson+4Alabama 34-10
Nov. 24, 2007at Auburn+6Auburn 17-10
Nov. 3, 2007vs. LSU+6.5LSU 41-34
Oct. 20, 2007vs. Tennessee+1Alabama 41-17
Sept. 29, 2007at Florida State+2.5Florida State 21-14

*SEC Championship

As of Friday morning, 94 percent of the spread handle was on Georgia, which would be their highest handle in a game this season – and Alabama’s 6-percent share would be its lowest ever under Saban. Despite the public pounding, the book hasn’t moved the number.

It’s currently one of four conference championships in which the spread hasn’t moved despite one team receiving at least 70 percent of the handle. The others:

Oklahoma State vs. Baylor
Spread: Oklahoma State -5.5
Handle: Oklahoma State 77%

Michigan vs. Iowa
Spread: Michigan -10.5
Handle: Michigan 72%

App State vs. Louisiana
Spread: App State -3
Handle: Louisiana 79%

You can view updated college football odds for all conference championships at BetMGM. And listen to more college football and NFL betting analysis on The Lion’s Edge:

 

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About the Author

Andrew Doughty

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Andrew Doughty is a writer for BetMGM with a focus on college football, NFL, college basketball, and NASCAR. A graduate of the University of Kansas, he previously wrote for Sports Illustrated and HERO Sports.

Andrew Doughty is a writer for BetMGM with a focus on college football, NFL, college basketball, and NASCAR. A graduate of the University of Kansas, he previously wrote for Sports Illustrated and HERO Sports.